NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	101		Excitement	2.5 [1251]		MVP	J.R. Smith (NYK): +16.6%
New York Knicks	108		Comeback	1.1 [731]		LVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): -3.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Allen	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.13	0.00	0.05	10	72%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Mike Conley	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.05	16	57%	0.03	2	-0.03	14	86%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	17	63%	0.07	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	5	45%	-0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.05	7	62%	-0.00	2	-0.03	7	71%	-0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.12	0.01	-0.07	3	37%	0.01	5	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.16	0.02	0.01	18	71%	0.20	4	-0.04	13	92%	0.03
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.00	0.02	10	80%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	56%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	6	93%	0.05	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	20	48%	0.04	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James White	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	3.4	28.3	16.4	31.7	2.0	45.2	153.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +40.5%

MEM -4.0%

MEM -1.4%

NYK +10.8%

NYK +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NYK	NBA	MEM	NYK	NBA
this game	15.2	16.9	15.4	116.1	117.4	104.1
season	16.5	16.2		102.9	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.8	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.6	14.5	17.1	13.8	15.2
NYK	15.0	17.4	20.8	15.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Daye	20	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	-5	3	14.0	15.5	-1.47	14.2	17.7	-3.44
Tony Allen	47	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.29	4	-11	15	15.2	15.2	-0.03	17.1	16.7	0.35
Quincy Pondexter	48	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-7	7	14.5	16.0	-1.48	16.7	17.3	-0.58
Darrell Arthur	15	15	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.12	-12	5	-17	15.7	15.1	0.66	17.1	16.9	0.14
Zach Randolph	47	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	0	-7	15.6	14.7	0.90	17.3	16.5	0.86
Jerryd Bayless	57	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-4	1	14.9	15.8	-0.94	16.6	17.6	-0.96
Marc Gasol	63	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-7	7	15.6	14.0	1.58	17.2	16.2	0.97
Mike Conley	71	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	0	-7	15.3	14.7	0.53	16.9	17.2	-0.27
Tayshaun Prince	67	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	1	-9	15.4	14.6	0.76	17.6	14.7	2.81

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	80	76	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.24	8	-1	9	16.9	17.3	-0.45	15.0	16.6	-1.66
Kenyon Martin	51	48	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.08	9	-2	11	16.1	18.0	-1.81	15.4	14.9	0.43
Jason Kidd	55	53	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	3	1	17.2	16.5	0.72	15.3	14.9	0.40
Carmelo Anthony	77	73	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	9	-11	17.2	15.8	1.37	15.1	15.9	-0.80
Iman Shumpert	43	40	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.01	9	-2	11	16.0	17.8	-1.78	14.8	15.5	-0.66
Pablo Prigioni	36	33	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	1	5	16.3	17.4	-1.05	15.9	14.8	1.12
Marcus Camby	15	15	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	-2	11	17.4	16.9	0.54	14.9	15.2	-0.38
Raymond Felton	60	58	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	11	-15	17.7	15.5	2.22	15.4	14.8	0.59
Steve Novak	31	30	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.06	7	0	7	16.8	17.0	-0.21	14.6	15.5	-0.84
James White	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	9	-11	6.0	17.1	-11.07	0.0	15.2	-15.18
Chris Copeland	11	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.25	-9	16	-25	20.5	16.5	3.99	16.2	15.1	1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 82, MIN 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
CHI 82, ORL 111	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
ATL 79, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%