inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 92 Excitement8.4 [216] MVPMaurice Harkless (POR): +21.1%
Portland Trail Blazers 99 Comeback8.5 [243] LVPGoran Dragic (MIA): -20.7%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh McRoberts0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.060.050.010.00968%0.132-0.071100%0.01
Hassan Whiteside0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.06,0.060.17-0.090.031674%0.131-0.07667%0.00
Willie Reed0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.00175%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Tyler Johnson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.090.07-0.031430%0.051-0.04250%-0.02
Rodney McGruder-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02939%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Wayne Ellington-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.03-0.011343%0.021-0.07250%-0.04
James Johnson-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.03-0.02520%-0.042-0.0600%0.00
Goran Dragic-0.210,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.17,-0.21-0.10-0.12-0.011945%-0.065-0.142100%0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Maurice Harkless0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.21,0.210.210.060.150.001261%0.261-0.054100%0.05
Allen Crabbe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.140.140.110.040.001167%0.1400.002100%0.00
CJ McCollum0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,0.04,0.110.11-0.030.14-0.001844%0.131-0.02367%-0.02
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.050.02861%0.101-0.03250%-0.00
Meyers Leonard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02642%0.051-0.0500%0.00
Noah Vonleh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Ed Davis0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01540%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Damian Lillard0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.12,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.011943%0.052-0.10683%-0.01
Evan Turner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.020.011036%-0.0700.00560%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.42.330.515.525.01.834.1137.5
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +41.4%
POR +0.7%
MIA -18.8%
POR +17.3%
POR +9.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAPORNBAMIAPORNBA
this game15.414.814.895.8104.2107.7
season15.414.9106.7108.6
opponent14.514.5109.8105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.913.714.918.315.4
POR15.814.017.112.514.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh McRoberts56560.43-0.931.36-0.0717-244115.415.30.0415.513.71.80
Wayne Ellington7775-0.04-0.460.43-0.216-131915.215.9-0.7115.013.91.11
Willie Reed1615-0.19-0.310.120.07-92-1112.915.9-2.9313.415.0-1.64
Hassan Whiteside8080-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.372-91115.912.92.9315.013.41.64
Rodney McGruder7775-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.23-3-4115.614.51.1214.516.0-1.55
James Johnson3736-0.47-0.03-0.430.12-2013-3314.316.1-1.8014.714.8-0.05
Goran Dragic7173-0.660.16-0.82-0.57-3-4115.515.10.3414.814.70.13
Tyler Johnson6867-0.960.46-1.42-0.17-2720-4715.614.90.6813.817.1-3.30

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Allen Crabbe55550.72-0.220.940.1320-133314.415.3-0.9915.315.5-0.15
Mason Plumlee67680.68-0.180.860.448-1914.016.7-2.7916.014.01.99
Damian Lillard70710.64-0.140.780.5534-115.014.20.8415.215.9-0.68
CJ McCollum65670.370.130.240.40-18-914.415.5-1.1015.315.6-0.30
Maurice Harkless65660.250.25-0.000.43-613-1914.216.0-1.7816.313.33.07
Noah Vonleh890.030.47-0.44-0.0634-116.114.71.4711.915.7-3.85
Meyers Leonard3938-0.020.52-0.54-0.2061515.814.11.7214.116.2-2.15
Evan Turner5555-0.070.57-0.64-0.3911-41514.914.60.3115.515.30.19
Ed Davis5151-0.100.60-0.690.17-916-2516.013.32.7215.315.5-0.17


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.19,0.26,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.1,0.32,0.85,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 81, VAN 860.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.32,0.26,0.46,0.28,0.1,0.28,0.41,0.91,189.5%
IND 87, TOR 880.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.43,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.34,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.57,0.72,189.5%
CLE 88, DET 890.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.24,0.21,0.33,0.42,189.5%