inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 110 Excitement7.3 [396] MVPMike Conley (MEM): +41.1%
Miami Heat 107 Comeback2.5 [473] LVPJosh Richardson (MIA): -10.3%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Conley0.410,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.26,0.31,0.410.110.29-0.021364%0.431-0.027100%0.09
Marc Gasol0.240,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.220.060.041678%0.2400.004100%0.01
JaMychal Green0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.110.100.00686%0.2200.00250%-0.01
Troy Williams0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.140.070.07-0.011260%0.221-0.08667%-0.00
Tony Allen0.040,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.030.01950%0.0400.00475%-0.01
Deyonta Davis0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Andrew Harrison0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.020.00250%0.021-0.02875%0.01
Vince Carter-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.02833%-0.0300.002100%0.02
Jarell Martin-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.02650%0.053-0.0900%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dion Waiters0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.290.290.160.150.021964%0.301-0.02667%-0.01
Derrick Williams0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.080.01-0.04965%0.1300.002100%0.01
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.110.11-0.010.07-0.05853%0.142-0.02367%-0.01
Rodney McGruder0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.040.011055%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Hassan Whiteside0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.001158%0.071-0.03425%-0.08
Josh McRoberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyler Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.040.00763%0.112-0.13580%0.01
Luke Babbitt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.01410%-0.0700.00250%-0.01
Josh Richardson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1-0.100.03-0.120.011258%-0.012-0.092100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.01.829.115.628.22.535.4139.5
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +13.6%
MEM +30.1%
MIA -11.9%
MEM +13.4%
MEM +4.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMMIANBAMEMMIANBA
this game15.416.114.8119.6117.6107.7
season16.115.4106.4106.7
opponent14.514.9105.9106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM13.714.016.018.915.4
MIA13.417.316.018.116.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Allen64650.77-0.271.040.577-41115.714.90.8016.415.21.22
Marc Gasol65670.71-0.210.930.546-3915.415.5-0.1016.215.80.37
Troy Williams66670.66-0.160.820.554-1515.614.80.7916.514.81.67
JaMychal Green63630.480.020.450.53-25-715.315.6-0.2515.417.6-2.17
Mike Conley69660.380.120.260.3221115.216.1-0.9615.816.7-0.90
Andrew Harrison4545-0.020.52-0.54-0.0512-115.115.7-0.5916.016.1-0.09
Jarell Martin3331-0.020.52-0.54-0.0821115.715.30.4417.615.22.40
Deyonta Davis2321-0.170.67-0.84-0.1703-315.315.4-0.1415.416.3-0.83
Vince Carter3230-0.300.80-1.09-0.15-58-1315.415.4-0.0114.916.6-1.69

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luke Babbitt30330.13-0.630.760.130-3317.515.32.1915.115.6-0.55
Udonis Haslem210.01-0.510.510.06-2-1-117.016.00.961.015.6-14.57
Derrick Williams3131-0.07-0.430.36-0.070-3316.316.00.2914.116.1-1.94
Josh McRoberts2425-0.13-0.370.24-0.02-41-516.815.81.0415.915.20.70
Dion Waiters7071-0.18-0.320.15-0.387-101715.418.2-2.8215.814.21.52
Tyler Johnson5354-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.24-30-315.417.1-1.6916.014.61.42
James Johnson6061-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.26-30-316.016.3-0.2916.114.11.94
Hassan Whiteside6566-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.463-6915.816.8-1.0915.415.30.09
Josh Richardson5756-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.470-3315.816.4-0.6015.215.7-0.42
Rodney McGruder6362-0.740.24-0.97-0.35-1310-2316.914.22.6714.816.6-1.76


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.71,0.58,0.42,0.59,0.29,0.22,0.38,0.21,0.09,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 91, TOR 820.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.28,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.01,092.6%
ORL 107, WAS 1040.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.17,0.31,0.05,0.03,0.02,092.4%
DET 81, MIL 760.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.07,0.08,092.3%