NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	119		Excitement	8.5 [203]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): +29.1%
Charlotte Hornets	114		Comeback	1.9 [724]		LVP	Frank Kaminsky (CHA): -17.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.29	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.29	0.21	0.09	0.01	21	70%	0.29	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Danny Green	0.24	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.19,0.24,0.24	0.09	0.14	-0.02	12	67%	0.28	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.21	0.05	0.16	0.01	17	55%	0.24	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Davis Bertans	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.09	0.00	4	137%	0.23	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	73%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	36%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.06	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	10	46%	-0.06	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.23,0.23,-0.02,0.06,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.02	0.02	16	72%	0.34	2	-0.18	4	100%	0.03
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	87%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	11	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	8	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	83%	0.17	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	10	46%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	11	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	9	68%	0.05	5	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	12	46%	-0.03	3	-0.14	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.4	26.7	15.6	24.7	3.0	40.0	137.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +32.8%

SAS +6.1%

CHA -28.8%

SAS +39.6%

SAS +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CHA	NBA	SAS	CHA	NBA
this game	15.5	14.2	14.8	122.7	117.5	107.7
season	15.4	15.1		110.1	107.9
opponent	14.8	14.8		107.9	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.0	15.9	16.0	14.3	15.5
CHA	16.0	13.6	14.0	13.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	57	58	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.40	10	-5	15	16.8	13.7	3.05	14.8	13.2	1.67
LaMarcus Aldridge	70	73	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.35	9	-4	13	16.7	12.5	4.20	14.3	13.7	0.68
Danny Green	59	60	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-5	15	16.3	14.2	2.10	13.6	15.1	-1.55
Tony Parker	57	58	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.31	8	-3	11	16.1	14.6	1.47	13.9	14.6	-0.65
Kawhi Leonard	71	72	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.34	7	-2	9	16.4	13.0	3.38	14.1	14.3	-0.14
Manu Ginobili	36	36	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.12	-3	8	-11	13.5	16.7	-3.16	13.7	14.4	-0.72
Kyle Anderson	2	2	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	5	-5	1.5	15.8	-14.31	4.5	14.4	-9.88
Patty Mills	40	39	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	8	-11	14.6	16.1	-1.47	14.6	13.9	0.65
Jonathon Simmons	31	29	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	9	-13	13.2	16.6	-3.46	14.9	13.9	1.03
Davis Bertans	25	22	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.01	-4	9	-13	13.4	16.3	-2.90	14.5	14.1	0.42
David Lee	37	36	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	-0.17	-5	10	-15	14.4	16.2	-1.75	14.0	14.3	-0.23

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	34	36	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-7	9	13.8	14.4	-0.54	14.7	16.0	-1.22
Spencer Hawes	41	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.12	3	-8	11	14.5	13.9	0.63	14.6	16.2	-1.58
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	57	56	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-7	9	14.1	14.2	-0.08	16.7	13.8	2.92
Roy Hibbert	31	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-1	-3	15.7	13.5	2.26	17.9	14.4	3.46
Jeremy Lamb	14	14	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	1	-7	13.2	14.3	-1.12	13.2	15.9	-2.69
Marco Belinelli	44	46	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.22	-1	-4	3	14.6	13.8	0.72	13.6	17.3	-3.71
Marvin Williams	57	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.22	-7	2	-9	13.8	14.8	-1.02	16.3	14.5	1.71
Frank Kaminsky	65	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.39	-2	-3	1	13.6	15.4	-1.79	14.4	18.0	-3.60
Nicolas Batum	79	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.39	-5	0	-5	14.2	14.3	-0.13	16.2	12.7	3.46
Kemba Walker	63	61	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.34	-7	2	-9	14.4	13.8	0.54	16.0	14.7	1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.23,0.36,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.24,0.27,0.46,0.64,0.1,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 92, DET 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.55,0.37,0.17,0.02,0	91.5%
LAC 94, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.05,0	91.2%
IND 94, GSW 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.43,0.52,0.32,0.47,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.29,0.15,0.17,0	90.9%