inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 120 Excitement2.6 [1233] MVPKevin Durant (GSW): +5.3%
Indiana Pacers 83 Comeback1.2 [1278] LVPMonta Ellis (IND): -7.7%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.00-0.01956%0.071-0.027100%0.02
Stephen Curry0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.14-0.000.091173%0.071-0.028100%0.02
Klay Thompson0.050,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.11-0.000.071866%0.072-0.03250%0.00
JaVale McGee0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.020.00-0.05458%0.042-0.00425%-0.01
Shaun Livingston0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00267%0.0110.002100%-0.00
Ian Clark0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.021050%0.0100.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.02460%0.0100.002100%0.00
Draymond Green0.000,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03762%0.021-0.022100%0.00
Patrick McCaw0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.04831%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevon Looney0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02125%0.0000.00250%0.00
James Michael McAdoo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.0640%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andre Iguodala-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.06764%-0.0000.0000%0.00
David West-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.00554%-0.014-0.043100%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.12-0.000.091266%0.0200.00887%0.01
Rakeem Christmas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01343%0.0000.001100%0.00
Joe Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.080.00-0.0850%0.0000.0000%0.00
Georges Niang0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.090.00-0.0960%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.03756%0.011-0.022100%-0.00
Glenn Robinson0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.090.00-0.061429%-0.0310.0000%0.00
Al Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.000.04450%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kevin Seraphin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.001136%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Lavoy Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.10-0.00-0.0750%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.021438%-0.022-0.021100%0.00
Thaddeus Young0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.010.051450%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Monta Ellis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.12-0.00-0.04831%-0.024-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.529.516.529.22.527.5131.8
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +39.6%
GSW +4.9%
GSW +2.3%
GSW +1.9%
GSW +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWINDNBAGSWINDNBA
this game12.315.714.8115.481.4107.7
season13.514.9114.9107.5
opponent14.815.1108.0103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW11.111.911.415.112.3
IND15.614.416.316.915.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Durant62600.490.010.49-0.3027101711.613.3-1.7315.416.1-0.65
Stephen Curry66640.490.010.49-0.503433111.314.1-2.8015.815.60.13
Draymond Green66640.440.060.37-0.503252711.413.8-2.4616.015.20.76
Andre Iguodala41400.340.160.18-0.071423-911.213.0-1.7514.716.4-1.71
Klay Thompson58570.320.180.14-0.3824131111.513.3-1.7616.115.20.88
Zaza Pachulia30300.220.28-0.06-0.311819-111.712.5-0.8617.015.21.87
Ian Clark45440.150.35-0.19-0.321621-513.311.51.8615.116.2-1.14
JaVale McGee28290.100.40-0.31-0.14829-2112.412.20.1615.315.9-0.61
Kevon Looney20190.000.50-0.50-0.20730-2314.911.63.3116.115.60.41
Patrick McCaw23220.000.50-0.50-0.23829-2115.111.53.6616.915.41.52
James Michael McAdoo16150.000.50-0.50-0.12433-2914.411.92.4816.915.51.43
David West3031-0.030.53-0.550.12-542-4713.811.72.0915.515.8-0.38
Shaun Livingston3535-0.030.53-0.550.03-239-4113.111.91.2614.916.1-1.18

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rakeem Christmas11110.00-0.500.500.09-3-343115.915.70.2214.112.12.03
Joe Young15160.00-0.500.500.12-4-332916.915.51.4314.411.92.48
Georges Niang13140.00-0.500.500.03-1-363516.315.60.6814.411.92.48
Aaron Brooks4244-0.08-0.420.340.18-9-281915.216.1-0.8512.911.81.13
Kevin Seraphin4745-0.13-0.370.240.19-11-261515.316.1-0.7712.512.10.41
Al Jefferson4546-0.16-0.340.190.34-17-20316.215.30.8712.412.20.16
Lavoy Allen3637-0.25-0.25-0.010.30-19-18-115.016.1-1.1112.912.00.91
Rodney Stuckey5051-0.30-0.20-0.110.22-18-19115.216.2-1.0112.711.80.91
Monta Ellis5051-0.34-0.16-0.180.39-25-12-1316.415.11.3411.113.4-2.32
Glenn Robinson8083-0.35-0.15-0.210.35-24-13-1115.815.20.6212.212.7-0.49
Jeff Teague5757-0.42-0.08-0.340.37-27-10-1715.715.70.0511.613.1-1.59
Thaddeus Young6465-0.46-0.04-0.420.33-27-10-1715.715.8-0.1611.313.9-2.59


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 127, DAL 1110.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.4%
WAS 93, MIL 770.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.4%
GSW 126, NYK 1030.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.3%