NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	93		Excitement	2.4 [1199]		MVP	Chris Webber (WAS): +7.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	77		Comeback	1.1 [449]		LVP	Ray Allen (MIL): -16.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	15	63%	0.07	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.00
Tracy Murray	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	47%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ledell Eackles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	65%	0.01	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	11	61%	0.04	4	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
God Shammgod	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Chris Whitney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	10	37%	-0.00	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	6	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	60%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Litterial Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	83%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ricky Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	12	43%	-0.00	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jerald Honeycutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.15	0.00	-0.12	6	33%	-0.01	5	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	12	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	9	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	10	50%	-0.04
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.20	-0.00	-0.04	15	42%	-0.07	7	-0.09	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	29.6	15.5	26.4	2.4	28.6	129.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +36.8%

MIL -0.4%

WAS +2.5%

WAS +11.2%

MIL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIL	NBA	WAS	MIL	NBA
this game	15.4	16.8	15.6	103.3	86.5	102.5
season	15.1	16.0		102.8	101.1
opponent	15.1	15.6		102.8	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.8	14.1	16.2	16.7	15.4
MIL	16.5	18.0	16.5	16.0	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rod Strickland	54	53	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.35	32	-16	48	14.8	16.3	-1.47	18.2	14.7	3.48
Chris Webber	65	65	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.16	20	-4	24	14.7	17.4	-2.68	17.5	14.7	2.76
Tracy Murray	43	43	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.16	5	11	-6	14.6	16.2	-1.61	16.7	16.8	-0.08
Ben Wallace	45	44	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	14	-12	15.0	15.9	-0.89	16.7	16.8	-0.12
Calbert Cheaney	41	41	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.18	15	1	14	15.4	15.5	-0.10	18.3	15.4	2.92
Ledell Eackles	39	39	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	8	0	15.1	15.7	-0.65	16.6	16.9	-0.36
Harvey Grant	59	56	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.09	5	11	-6	16.6	13.2	3.40	15.9	18.3	-2.45
Terry Davis	44	45	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.18	14	2	12	16.0	14.8	1.22	16.8	16.7	0.12
Darvin Ham	23	23	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.18	-5	21	-26	16.8	14.9	1.89	14.5	17.6	-3.08
God Shammgod	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	21	-26	22.8	15.0	7.81	3.2	17.4	-14.15
Chris Whitney	32	32	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.23	-11	27	-38	15.0	15.6	-0.61	16.1	17.1	-1.00

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerald Honeycutt	46	46	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.43	15	-31	46	16.0	17.6	-1.63	16.6	14.2	2.47
Litterial Green	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.14	5	-21	26	9.2	17.6	-8.39	18.9	15.0	3.91
Jamie Feick	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-23	30	9.5	17.8	-8.34	18.9	14.9	4.03
Elliot Perry	63	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.03	-9	-7	-2	16.5	17.4	-0.88	15.9	14.4	1.55
Ricky Pierce	57	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.29	1	-17	18	16.7	16.8	-0.12	15.7	15.0	0.67
Ervin Johnson	55	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.12	-15	-1	-14	16.5	17.1	-0.57	15.6	15.2	0.35
Armen Gilliam	47	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	-1	-14	18.5	14.8	3.66	13.7	17.3	-3.64
Tyrone Hill	53	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.05	-14	-2	-12	17.3	16.0	1.24	15.7	15.0	0.76
Michael Curry	39	41	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.36	-27	11	-38	17.0	16.6	0.42	13.9	16.7	-2.84
Ray Allen	65	66	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	0.24	-28	12	-40	18.3	12.7	5.61	14.6	17.7	-3.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 120, IND 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
WAS 101, MIL 77	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
SAS 120, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%