NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	116		Excitement	11.2 [33]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +60.7%
New Orleans Pelicans	121		Comeback	36.5 [31]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): -24.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07	0.02	0.06	0.01	10	52%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.11
Marco Belinelli	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.04	-0.00	13	79%	0.18	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.04	0.00	12	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.38,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.02	0.02	-0.06	-0.05	25	47%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.07
Spencer Hawes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	6	45%	0.05	1	-0.10	10	60%	-0.05
Ramon Sessions	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Marvin Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	14	38%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.05

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.3,0.39,0.61	0.61	0.17	0.46	0.02	27	61%	0.65	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.12
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.24,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.00	-0.00	14	74%	0.22	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.06
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.02	12	61%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	8	35%	-0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.13,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	0.05	-0.29	0.00	17	61%	-0.09	3	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	25.6	15.7	28.6	1.8	40.0	2.5	23.9	162.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.9	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +37.7%

CHA -15.4%

NOP +40.9%

CHA -3.6%

CHA -9.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NOP	NBA	CHA	NOP	NBA
this game	14.7	13.8	14.8	105.5	106.1	107.7
season	15.1	14.1		107.9	104.1
opponent	15.0	14.8		106.2	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	14.2	16.7	12.9	16.2	12.0	14.7
NOP	14.1	12.8	14.2	13.8	14.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	46	47	0.37	-0.87	1.24	0.11	9	-14	23	14.8	14.6	0.22	12.9	14.4	-1.50
Roy Hibbert	35	37	0.27	-0.77	1.05	-0.02	10	-15	25	13.3	15.3	-2.05	15.0	13.2	1.80
Ramon Sessions	46	46	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.07	2	-7	9	14.0	15.1	-1.05	13.6	13.9	-0.32
Marco Belinelli	69	72	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.26	5	-10	15	14.4	15.1	-0.67	13.2	14.7	-1.48
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	72	73	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-4	3	15.1	13.8	1.24	14.2	13.0	1.14
Frank Kaminsky	74	78	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.26	-11	6	-17	14.7	14.5	0.27	13.6	14.2	-0.64
Nicolas Batum	71	75	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.41	-9	4	-13	15.1	13.9	1.13	13.7	13.8	-0.10
Kemba Walker	75	78	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.32	-15	10	-25	14.8	14.3	0.58	13.9	13.4	0.53
Marvin Williams	62	64	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.42	-15	10	-25	14.8	14.5	0.31	14.1	13.4	0.70

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	63	62	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.40	12	-7	19	13.1	14.5	-1.44	15.0	14.2	0.79
Anthony Davis	91	87	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.37	7	-2	9	13.6	14.4	-0.80	14.7	14.5	0.22
Tim Frazier	78	75	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.16	14	-9	23	14.5	12.2	2.24	14.5	15.0	-0.46
Dante Cunningham	91	88	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.37	2	3	-1	13.9	13.0	0.89	14.7	14.4	0.31
Solomon Hill	55	52	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	-3	11	13.3	14.2	-0.83	14.7	14.6	0.07
E'Twaun Moore	40	38	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.21	0	5	-5	13.8	13.7	0.15	14.5	14.7	-0.28
Terrence Jones	44	43	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.12	1	4	-3	13.7	13.8	-0.16	14.5	14.7	-0.23
Langston Galloway	54	54	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	7	-9	13.4	14.0	-0.62	15.4	14.0	1.41
Buddy Hield	12	12	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.01	-8	13	-21	12.6	13.9	-1.31	16.7	14.4	2.26
Omer Asik	30	28	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	0.05	-14	19	-33	15.0	13.3	1.65	13.1	15.2	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.32,0.16,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.13,0.03,0.22,0.55,0.16,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.78,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 104, LAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.25,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.24,0.15,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.9,0.99,1	89.8%
PHX 106, SAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.9,0.98,1	89.1%
CHA 97, DAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.54,0.32,0.46,0.77,0.58,1	89.1%