NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	99		Excitement	8.1 [243]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +12.8%
Brooklyn Nets	95		Comeback	4.6 [538]		LVP	Bojan Bogdanovic (BKN): -15.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.2,0.15,0.13	0.06	0.09	0.02	22	58%	0.27	4	-0.14	8	62%	-0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.09	0.00	5	60%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	5	80%	0.14	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,0.08,0.08	-0.09	0.15	-0.03	13	23%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	53%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	0.04	-0.05	0.01	13	62%	0.06	3	-0.07	3	67%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.00	8	72%	0.11	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.03	-0.00	7	30%	-0.02	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	5	92%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	0.00	9	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Justin Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	64%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	15	47%	0.04	2	-0.03	10	70%	-0.02
Anthony Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0,0,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	17	49%	0.05	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.02
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Whitehead	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	17	37%	-0.10	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.7	28.0	15.4	24.4	2.3	37.7	135.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +49.6%

BKN -0.1%

CHA +7.6%

BKN -7.5%

CHA +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	BKN	NBA	CHA	BKN	NBA
this game	14.2	14.2	14.8	98.0	93.1	107.7
season	15.1	13.7		107.9	103.2
opponent	14.4	14.8		109.6	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.0	15.3	12.6	13.1	14.2
BKN	12.8	16.0	14.5	13.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	76	78	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.27	11	-7	18	14.1	14.7	-0.67	14.0	14.7	-0.72
Kemba Walker	66	67	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.35	7	-3	10	14.5	13.7	0.77	14.2	14.0	0.20
Cody Zeller	44	47	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.40	5	-1	6	14.0	14.4	-0.43	13.9	14.4	-0.49
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	71	70	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.52	-6	10	-16	14.4	13.7	0.69	14.3	13.9	0.37
Marvin Williams	62	62	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.46	-6	10	-16	14.6	13.6	1.02	14.4	13.8	0.59
Frank Kaminsky	39	40	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.08	10	-6	16	13.6	14.6	-1.02	13.8	14.4	-0.59
Marco Belinelli	46	46	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	-1	6	14.0	14.4	-0.48	13.9	14.4	-0.48
Spencer Hawes	57	55	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.08	1	3	-2	14.4	14.0	0.43	14.4	13.9	0.49
Ramon Sessions	44	45	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	11	-18	14.0	14.4	-0.31	14.4	13.9	0.51

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Bennett	8	8	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.03	3	-7	10	15.1	14.1	1.05	16.6	14.0	2.61
Joe Harris	52	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-1	-2	13.0	15.3	-2.28	14.0	14.5	-0.50
Isaiah Whitehead	47	50	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.10	-2	-2	0	14.9	13.5	1.41	14.3	14.2	0.12
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	64	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.36	6	-10	16	15.1	12.6	2.47	14.1	14.5	-0.47
Justin Hamilton	46	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	3	-10	13.0	15.1	-2.03	14.2	14.2	-0.01
Trevor Booker	56	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.34	3	-7	10	15.1	13.0	2.03	14.2	14.2	0.01
Brook Lopez	58	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.43	6	-10	16	14.8	13.2	1.59	14.5	13.9	0.55
Sean Kilpatrick	71	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-5	6	13.8	14.9	-1.03	14.3	13.9	0.41
Luis Scola	36	35	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.06	-12	8	-20	12.8	14.9	-2.05	13.7	14.5	-0.86
Bojan Bogdanovic	72	69	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.28	-15	11	-26	14.0	14.6	-0.67	14.2	14.3	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.15,0.26,0.32,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 106, LAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.32,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.27,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.09,0	91.7%
BOS 107, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.07,0.14,0.16,0	91.5%
NJN 104, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.4,0.27,0.32,0.22,0.09,0.1,0	91.5%