NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	100		Excitement	7.1 [445]		MVP	Amir Johnson (BOS): +35.7%
Boston Celtics	107		Comeback	1.4 [832]		LVP	Taj Gibson (CHI): -22.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Portis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	21	49%	0.09	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Nikola Mirotic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.06	0.01	6	74%	0.06	2	-0.03	11	73%	-0.12
Dwyane Wade	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	13	47%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Denzel Valentine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Canaan	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	11	55%	-0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.22	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.15	-0.07	0.00	12	30%	-0.08	4	-0.14	3	67%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.23	0.08	-0.05	11	96%	0.36	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.07
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.12,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.09	0.03	18	57%	0.17	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	54%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Young	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	11	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jordan Mickey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	15	43%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16	-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.01	8	35%	-0.05	6	-0.11	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.7	31.2	16.3	27.6	3.4	38.5	147.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +61.2%

CHI -19.3%

CHI -16.4%

BOS +24.0%

BOS +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BOS	NBA	CHI	BOS	NBA
this game	14.5	15.0	14.8	103.1	109.2	107.7
season	15.1	14.7		105.9	110.1
opponent	14.9	14.8		108.3	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.7	13.0	15.4	15.0	14.5
BOS	12.4	16.3	15.2	16.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerian Grant	27	25	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.12	10	-17	27	14.9	14.4	0.50	15.7	14.8	0.90
Bobby Portis	21	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.25	7	-14	21	14.8	14.5	0.30	16.7	14.5	2.17
Denzel Valentine	15	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-4	1	13.3	14.8	-1.49	14.5	15.1	-0.56
Cristiano Felicio	23	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-2	-3	12.6	15.1	-2.57	14.5	15.2	-0.66
Nikola Mirotic	71	72	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.31	6	-13	19	13.8	16.6	-2.80	15.2	14.4	0.80
Isaiah Canaan	39	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-6	5	15.1	14.2	0.88	14.3	15.5	-1.20
Taj Gibson	49	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	1	-9	15.6	13.4	2.20	15.4	14.6	0.71
Robin Lopez	30	31	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	7	-21	15.9	13.9	1.94	13.2	15.9	-2.70
Jimmy Butler	70	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.24	-6	-1	-5	14.7	14.1	0.57	15.1	14.8	0.22
Dwyane Wade	72	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	3	-13	14.6	14.4	0.12	15.2	14.4	0.80
Rajon Rondo	68	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.21	-11	4	-15	14.2	15.4	-1.22	15.0	15.0	-0.04

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	58	58	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.27	8	-1	9	15.7	14.0	1.66	15.1	13.6	1.52
Isaiah Thomas	73	73	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.20	6	1	5	15.2	14.6	0.60	14.4	14.8	-0.41
Avery Bradley	75	74	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	5	-3	15.8	12.4	3.42	14.9	13.2	1.77
Marcus Smart	71	70	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	2	3	14.9	15.2	-0.29	13.5	17.2	-3.74
Tyler Zeller	51	50	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.03	10	-3	13	14.1	16.0	-1.94	15.3	13.7	1.56
Gerald Green	26	25	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	1	5	15.5	14.8	0.67	17.2	13.6	3.55
Jonas Jerebko	47	45	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.31	-4	11	-15	15.5	14.5	0.96	14.0	15.0	-0.94
Jae Crowder	30	30	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	1	5	12.8	16.0	-3.14	15.3	14.2	1.07
Terry Rozier	26	26	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	9	-11	15.0	15.0	-0.07	14.9	14.4	0.54
Jaylen Brown	18	19	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	7	-7	14.1	15.2	-1.17	11.5	15.3	-3.80
Jordan Mickey	13	14	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	9	-11	15.0	15.0	-0.01	12.0	15.0	-2.95
James Young	2	1	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	7	-7	10.0	15.1	-5.11	8.0	14.6	-6.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 87, MIA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.88,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.91,0.9,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.92,1	93.8%
ORL 90, DET 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.84,0.92,0.84,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,1	93.6%
WAS 79, CHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.96,0.91,1,1	93.3%