NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	103		Excitement	8.0 [257]		MVP	Serge Ibaka (ORL): +61.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	101		Comeback	20.7 [91]		LVP	Robert Covington (PHI): -20.2%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0.62	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.62	0.16	0.47	0.01	12	75%	0.62	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Evan Fournier	0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.07	-0.03	0.07	-0.03	17	47%	0.15	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.07	0.14	-0.05	0.02	16	69%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	10	45%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Bismack Biyombo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
CJ Wilcox	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	10	33%	0.01	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	-0.00	-0.08	-0.00	17	49%	-0.02	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Mario Hezonja	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.23	0.06	0.01	10	100%	0.28	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dario Saric	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.00	-0.00	14	75%	0.18	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	13	58%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Timothe Luwawu	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	11	55%	0.02	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.09,-0.2	-0.20	-0.03	-0.19	-0.02	12	55%	0.13	4	-0.33	9	67%	-0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	6	0%	-0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	29.7	15.8	28.4	2.4	41.5	145.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -5.0%

ORL +34.7%

PHI -11.6%

ORL +35.8%

PHI -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	15.7	14.8	109.6	108.6	107.7
season	14.6	14.5		103.0	101.9
opponent	14.4	14.9		107.6	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.6	18.0	13.0	15.4	15.1
PHI	15.4	14.1	15.2	18.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elfrid Payton	75	74	0.94	-0.44	1.39	0.39	19	-17	36	14.5	17.5	-2.94	16.1	14.2	1.91
Serge Ibaka	62	59	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.61	8	-6	14	15.6	14.2	1.38	16.5	14.3	2.18
Evan Fournier	73	73	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.43	11	-9	20	14.4	17.7	-3.33	15.7	15.7	-0.03
Nikola Vucevic	62	64	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.13	21	-19	40	13.9	17.5	-3.60	16.7	13.5	3.14
CJ Watson	15	15	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.35	3	-1	4	17.2	14.7	2.47	17.7	15.3	2.45
Aaron Gordon	62	61	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	-9	20	14.5	16.3	-1.84	16.2	14.7	1.41
Bismack Biyombo	41	41	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.13	-9	11	-20	15.3	15.0	0.38	14.0	17.0	-3.00
CJ Wilcox	8	8	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.10	-9	11	-20	16.7	15.0	1.77	13.1	15.9	-2.79
D.J. Augustin	25	24	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	0.06	-12	14	-26	17.3	14.3	2.99	14.6	16.1	-1.47
Mario Hezonja	24	24	-0.45	0.95	-1.39	0.05	-17	19	-36	16.7	14.6	2.18	13.9	16.3	-2.37
Jeff Green	23	22	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	0.01	-16	18	-34	16.8	14.6	2.19	13.8	16.3	-2.44

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timothe Luwawu	9	7	0.26	-0.76	1.01	-0.09	12	-14	26	10.2	16.3	-6.04	16.6	15.0	1.56
Sergio Rodriguez	59	62	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.03	4	-6	10	16.4	14.5	1.90	15.8	13.7	2.09
Hollis Thompson	55	57	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.13	6	-8	14	14.5	17.3	-2.77	15.5	14.6	0.83
Richaun Holmes	47	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.16	-7	5	-12	15.9	15.5	0.44	14.8	15.4	-0.64
Dario Saric	60	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.46	5	-7	12	16.3	14.5	1.80	14.6	16.1	-1.44
Nik Stauskas	43	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.24	-20	18	-38	16.1	15.3	0.82	13.1	16.7	-3.59
Gerald Henderson	57	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	1	-4	16.7	14.0	2.69	16.2	13.3	2.84
Joel Embiid	46	47	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.61	5	-7	12	15.5	15.9	-0.44	15.4	14.8	0.64
TJ McConnell	34	32	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.46	-6	4	-10	14.5	16.4	-1.90	13.7	15.8	-2.09
Robert Covington	55	56	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.55	-6	4	-10	15.6	15.8	-0.23	15.5	14.5	1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.92,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 101, LAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.88,0.94,0.85,0.74,0.65,0.77,0.69,0.84,0.83,0.92,0	91.0%
TOR 98, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.57,0.77,0	90.2%
DAL 97, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.85,0.66,0.76,0.54,0.77,0.92,0	90.0%