NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Excitement	7.9 [214]		MVP	Kevin Love (MIN): +34.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	98		Comeback	31.8 [26]		LVP	DeAndre Jordan (LAC): -17.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,0.35	0.01	0.34	0.00	16	45%	0.35	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Nikola Pekovic	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.02	0.01	9	72%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,0.05	-0.15	0.18	-0.02	11	30%	0.13	3	-0.08	8	75%	0.02
Darko Milicic	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.02	0.02	15	63%	0.14	3	-0.09	5	40%	-0.03
Derrick Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	53%	0.08	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	47%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.05	-0.06	1	100%	0.08	3	-0.11	1	0%	0.04
Luke Ridnour	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	11	42%	-0.10	1	-0.01	9	78%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.05	-0.00	15	78%	0.27	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	60%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Courtney Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	12	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.04,0.12,0.12,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.00	13	62%	0.14	4	-0.15	6	83%	0.02
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	17	47%	0.10	5	-0.17	11	64%	-0.04
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.00	3	33%	-0.04	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.8	36.2	19.5	29.5	3.4	41.6	158.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +21.3%

MIN +1.7%

MIN +7.4%

MIN +20.5%

LAC -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAC	NBA	MIN	LAC	NBA
this game	15.3	15.2	15.6	106.3	104.3	102.8
season	15.3	16.2		102.6	106.0
opponent	15.7	15.1		104.5	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.4	15.1	15.0	13.5	15.3
LAC	13.9	18.4	12.7	16.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Williams	30	29	1.13	-0.63	1.76	0.63	17	-14	31	12.7	16.5	-3.79	16.7	14.6	2.09
Wayne Ellington	59	58	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.42	9	-6	15	14.3	16.9	-2.57	16.6	13.0	3.59
Ricky Rubio	66	65	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.53	2	1	1	15.0	15.8	-0.81	14.9	16.0	-1.14
Kevin Love	72	72	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.55	-4	7	-11	15.8	13.7	2.07	14.5	17.5	-2.93
Luke Ridnour	74	75	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.36	-1	4	-5	16.2	11.9	4.31	14.3	18.7	-4.35
Nikola Pekovic	23	21	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.17	8	-5	13	13.7	15.8	-2.07	17.8	14.5	3.34
Wesley Johnson	48	47	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.03	-3	6	-9	16.2	14.3	1.95	14.0	16.4	-2.47
Anthony Tolliver	37	36	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.08	-4	7	-11	13.8	16.2	-2.33	17.1	14.0	3.08
Darko Milicic	66	67	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	-0.17	-9	12	-21	16.6	12.2	4.35	14.5	17.0	-2.51

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	59	61	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.13	6	-9	15	16.1	13.7	2.43	14.9	16.0	-1.15
Courtney Fortson	15	16	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.03	3	-6	9	18.3	14.6	3.71	13.8	15.6	-1.74
Reggie Evans	34	33	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.14	-2	-1	-1	16.6	14.4	2.15	13.5	16.2	-2.63
Solomon Jones	20	20	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.07	0	-3	3	16.6	14.8	1.83	15.1	15.3	-0.21
Randy Foye	80	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.41	-4	1	-5	14.4	19.6	-5.21	15.6	13.3	2.29
Ryan Gomes	71	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.54	0	-3	3	15.3	14.8	0.51	15.1	15.6	-0.48
DeAndre Jordan	60	61	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.56	0	-3	3	14.5	16.5	-1.97	15.9	14.2	1.69
Blake Griffin	74	75	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.45	-6	3	-9	14.8	16.8	-2.08	15.8	13.4	2.36
Chauncey Billups	57	58	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.48	-12	9	-21	14.4	16.5	-2.10	15.5	14.9	0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.88,0.94,0.85,0.74,0.65,0.77,0.69,0.84,0.83,0.92,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 112, MIN 107	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.75,0.93,0.77,0.72,0	91.8%
DET 93, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.72,0.78,0.73,0	91.6%
ORL 103, PHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.92,0	91.0%