NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	104		Excitement	3.0 [1207]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +22.7%
Golden State Warriors	125		Comeback	1.1 [1026]		LVP	Matt Barnes (MEM): -11.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lance Stephenson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.13	0.00	0.09	14	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
JaMychal Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	8	63%	0.05	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Vince Carter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	8	56%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Cotton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	55%	0.00	3	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Munford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	10	19%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
PJ Hairston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	21	55%	0.04	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.00	-0.03	11	24%	-0.08	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.37	0.00	0.14	24	85%	0.26	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	13	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	9	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	60%	0.01	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.05	10	68%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Michael McAdoo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	4	30%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	8	61%	0.02	5	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.6	29.2	16.4	24.4	3.6	26.6	129.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +48.9%

GSW +0.5%

GSW +0.8%

GSW +0.4%

MEM -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	GSW	NBA	MEM	GSW	NBA
this game	15.2	13.6	14.9	104.0	125.0	105.1
season	15.7	13.7		103.4	112.3
opponent	15.1	14.8		102.9	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.6	15.2	14.9	13.9	15.2
GSW	12.2	11.5	14.5	16.7	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryce Cotton	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-20	19	12.3	15.3	-2.93	21.7	13.4	8.30
Chris Andersen	18	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.05	-2	-19	17	16.7	14.9	1.81	12.9	13.8	-0.89
PJ Hairston	36	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-14	7	14.4	15.6	-1.15	14.2	13.3	0.89
Jordan Farmar	47	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-17	13	16.0	14.5	1.47	12.4	14.7	-2.28
Jarell Martin	50	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-15	9	14.6	15.8	-1.16	13.9	13.3	0.62
JaMychal Green	54	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.13	-13	-8	-5	13.9	16.7	-2.81	14.5	12.5	1.99
Vince Carter	47	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-11	1	16.7	13.9	2.79	13.0	14.2	-1.25
Zach Randolph	54	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-8	-5	15.8	14.4	1.42	12.8	14.5	-1.71
Matt Barnes	66	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	-6	-9	15.8	14.1	1.70	13.2	14.4	-1.20
Xavier Munford	53	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	-5	-11	14.5	16.0	-1.47	13.9	13.3	0.67
Lance Stephenson	72	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.07	-18	-3	-15	14.7	16.5	-1.78	14.2	12.0	2.22

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	58	58	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.21	23	-2	25	14.2	12.9	1.27	15.3	15.0	0.39
Draymond Green	62	62	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.14	19	2	17	12.9	14.9	-2.01	15.9	14.1	1.78
Stephen Curry	62	62	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.14	19	2	17	12.9	14.9	-2.01	15.9	14.1	1.78
Klay Thompson	62	61	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	12	-3	12.2	15.9	-3.67	15.7	14.4	1.35
Andrew Bogut	39	39	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	14	-7	12.5	14.3	-1.86	17.1	14.0	3.15
Shaun Livingston	45	46	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.12	11	10	1	14.2	13.1	1.09	13.5	16.6	-3.07
Festus Ezeli	27	28	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	14	-7	14.9	13.1	1.79	14.1	15.6	-1.49
Harrison Barnes	64	65	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.12	1	20	-19	13.6	13.7	-0.16	15.3	15.0	0.23
Marreese Speights	26	26	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	15	-9	13.8	13.6	0.25	14.0	15.6	-1.54
Leandro Barbosa	38	38	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	19	-17	14.9	12.9	2.01	14.1	15.9	-1.78
Anderson Varejao	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	21.7	13.4	8.30	12.3	15.3	-2.93
Brandon Rush	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	18.7	13.2	5.58	14.1	15.3	-1.12
James Michael McAdoo	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	16.7	13.4	3.24	12.8	15.3	-2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 75, PHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
LAC 90, SAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
CHA 73, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%