NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	105		Excitement	6.7 [496]		MVP	Seth Curry (SAC): +14.5%
Phoenix Suns	101		Comeback	1.4 [377]		LVP	Devin Booker (PHX): -29.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Seth Curry	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15	0.08	0.03	-0.03	14	67%	0.18	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kosta Koufos	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	14	54%	0.09	2	-0.05	7	43%	-0.07
Rudy Gay	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04	-0.05	0.07	-0.03	13	50%	0.14	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Quincy Acy	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	90%	0.07	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Caron Butler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	8	44%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.13	-0.02	-0.10	0.01	15	42%	-0.12	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.12

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.05	0.02	20	62%	0.17	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	11	60%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Alan Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	11	50%	-0.05	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.10	-0.09	0.02	18	40%	-0.11	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Devin Booker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.19,-0.19,-0.29	-0.29	-0.05	-0.23	0.01	20	48%	-0.10	4	-0.19	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	30.1	15.4	24.6	2.3	37.4	135.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +67.8%

PHX -14.9%

PHX -21.6%

SAC +17.3%

SAC +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	13.3	13.5	14.9	98.1	93.5	105.1
season	13.9	14.4		104.8	100.9
opponent	14.4	14.6		107.4	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.6	13.3	12.2	14.1	13.3
PHX	13.1	13.9	14.0	13.1	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Anderson	53	55	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.11	16	-12	28	12.1	14.4	-2.31	13.9	13.1	0.85
Seth Curry	85	86	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.25	8	-4	12	13.4	13.0	0.41	13.6	13.2	0.35
Rudy Gay	78	78	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.33	4	0	4	13.3	13.3	-0.09	13.4	13.7	-0.31
Willie Cauley-Stein	88	88	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.33	3	1	2	13.2	13.7	-0.56	13.5	13.4	0.13
Kosta Koufos	76	78	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.46	-3	7	-10	13.8	11.9	1.94	13.5	13.5	0.01
Quincy Acy	37	37	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	-4	12	12.2	13.8	-1.63	13.7	13.4	0.25
Ben McLemore	80	80	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.25	-10	14	-24	13.7	12.0	1.66	13.1	14.6	-1.53
Caron Butler	38	38	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.14	-6	10	-16	14.0	12.9	1.16	13.5	13.5	0.03

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Leuer	65	65	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.34	12	-16	28	12.6	14.9	-2.36	13.6	12.8	0.74
Chase Budinger	24	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.12	-6	2	-8	13.1	13.6	-0.49	12.3	13.5	-1.21
Alan Williams	21	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-2	0	13.9	13.4	0.49	12.8	13.4	-0.60
Ronnie Price	78	76	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-5	6	13.5	13.6	-0.13	13.7	12.3	1.44
Devin Booker	73	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.48	4	-8	12	13.2	14.2	-0.98	13.6	12.5	1.16
PJ Tucker	75	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-2	0	13.9	12.7	1.13	13.4	13.1	0.30
John Jenkins	44	42	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.07	-16	12	-28	14.4	12.9	1.56	12.2	14.0	-1.72
Mirza Teletovic	76	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.32	-6	2	-8	13.7	13.2	0.50	13.1	13.6	-0.47
Alex Len	84	84	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.43	-5	1	-6	13.6	13.1	0.55	13.3	13.2	0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.29,0.06,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 100, GSW 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.03,0.01,0	94.1%
PHI 107, NJN 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0,0,0	94.0%
SAS 91, NOH 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.06,0.08,0	93.9%