NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	107		Excitement	4.5 [934]		MVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): +25.9%
New Jersey Nets	95		Comeback	1.4 [417]		LVP	Chris Webber (PHI): -8.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.26	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.28	0.03	0.06	11	114%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.03	-0.05	28	61%	0.27	6	-0.12	13	62%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Bradley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	9	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Matt Barnes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	14	43%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	15	62%	0.14	1	-0.03	12	67%	-0.01
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	5	64%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Linton Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	11	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	22	50%	0.02	4	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	18	39%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.7	33.4	15.5	22.7	2.0	33.4	132.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +66.1%

NJN -9.2%

NJN -2.3%

NJN -8.7%

PHI +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NJN	NBA	PHI	NJN	NBA
this game	15.2	15.7	15.6	116.3	101.1	104.4
season	15.2	15.7		104.1	102.1
opponent	15.7	15.3		100.9	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.7	15.8	15.6	15.9	15.2
NJN	16.9	16.2	17.1	12.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	91	93	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	0	12	15.2	19.0	-3.80	15.8	9.0	6.80
Kyle Korver	68	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	0	12	15.1	15.5	-0.35	16.2	14.4	1.81
Chris Webber	77	80	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	2	8	14.9	17.1	-2.26	15.9	14.6	1.27
Andre Iguodala	59	59	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	3	6	15.6	14.6	1.03	15.5	16.2	-0.71
Samuel Dalembert	47	47	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	7	-2	14.8	15.7	-0.97	16.8	14.6	2.21
Michael Bradley	34	34	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.08	7	5	2	15.3	15.2	0.09	15.8	15.7	0.11
Shavlik Randolph	4	5	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	8	-4	20.5	15.0	5.50	18.4	15.6	2.83
Kevin Ollie	18	18	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	8	-4	15.9	15.1	0.88	13.8	16.2	-2.41
John Salmons	30	30	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.20	-6	18	-24	16.2	14.8	1.43	13.8	16.6	-2.83
Lou Williams	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	19.0	15.2	3.80	9.0	15.8	-6.80
Matt Barnes	8	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	14	-16	16.0	15.2	0.83	11.9	16.1	-4.24

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Linton Johnson	2	0	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-10	8	0.5	16.1	-15.55	0.0	15.2	-15.24
Jacque Vaughn	32	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-10	8	14.8	16.2	-1.43	16.2	14.7	1.49
Scott Padgett	24	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-6	0	14.3	16.2	-1.87	16.1	14.9	1.19
Marc Jackson	19	17	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	-4	-4	14.8	16.0	-1.17	15.9	15.1	0.79
Jeff McInnis	19	18	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.04	-10	-2	-8	16.4	15.6	0.81	15.4	15.2	0.26
Nenad Krstic	56	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.10	-6	-6	0	17.2	13.6	3.56	14.7	16.1	-1.46
Clifford Robinson	68	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-10	8	16.4	13.9	2.49	15.1	15.6	-0.52
Vince Carter	80	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-2	-8	15.4	17.4	-1.92	15.3	14.9	0.37
Jason Kidd	84	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-6	0	15.7	16.3	-0.65	15.0	16.8	-1.75
Richard Jefferson	86	86	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-4	-4	15.7	15.6	0.11	15.1	17.5	-2.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 94, IND 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.26,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
DAL 89, CHH 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.41,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.12,0.17,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.8%
IND 125, MIL 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%