NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	94		Excitement	4.0 [1044]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +15.5%
Indiana Pacers	85		Comeback	1.4 [422]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (IND): -14.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.15	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.03	0.02	25	67%	0.22	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.02
Nenad Krstic	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	9	72%	0.07	1	-0.00	7	86%	-0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	6	47%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Clifford Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Collins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	20	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	50%	-0.02	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.00	-0.02	11	75%	0.15	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.08	6	87%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	55%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	14	45%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	5	18%	-0.06	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.03	0.03	19	50%	0.01	5	-0.15	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	25.6	16.0	29.2	2.4	35.5	134.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +13.0%

NJN +10.5%

NJN +6.7%

NJN +17.8%

NJN +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	IND	NBA	NJN	IND	NBA
this game	15.8	16.5	15.5	104.4	96.6	104.0
season	16.0	16.8		99.2	101.9
opponent	15.5	15.6		101.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.8	17.5	13.7	17.1	15.8
IND	19.5	15.2	18.2	13.3	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	78	78	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-4	17	15.7	16.9	-1.25	17.2	11.7	5.45
Jason Kidd	77	75	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.25	7	2	5	15.7	16.5	-0.82	15.9	19.9	-3.98
Nenad Krstic	65	61	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	4	1	15.6	16.3	-0.67	16.5	16.6	-0.08
Jacque Vaughn	57	56	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.20	7	2	5	15.9	15.7	0.26	17.1	15.5	1.63
Jason Collins	38	39	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.04	9	0	9	14.8	16.6	-1.76	18.1	15.3	2.77
Clifford Robinson	47	45	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	2	5	16.0	15.6	0.44	16.8	16.3	0.45
Travis Best	45	43	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.20	-3	12	-15	16.2	15.5	0.73	14.7	18.3	-3.64
Zoran Planinic	25	23	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.08	-2	11	-13	16.7	15.5	1.23	16.3	16.6	-0.25
Brian Scalabrine	18	20	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.04	2	7	-5	16.9	15.6	1.32	15.4	16.9	-1.40

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	8	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-5	1	17.9	16.4	1.47	16.8	15.7	1.05
Eddie Gill	17	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-3	-3	19.2	15.9	3.28	15.1	16.0	-0.90
Fred Jones	46	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-11	13	16.8	16.2	0.57	16.4	15.2	1.25
Austin Croshere	43	46	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.10	-12	3	-15	16.3	16.8	-0.45	15.9	15.7	0.16
Dale Davis	62	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	-1	-7	17.0	15.5	1.41	16.2	15.0	1.23
Reggie Miller	61	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-4	-1	16.2	17.4	-1.21	15.8	15.9	-0.03
Anthony Johnson	72	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-6	3	15.8	19.9	-4.08	15.9	15.4	0.59
Stephen Jackson	73	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-6	3	15.9	19.5	-3.54	15.8	16.1	-0.28
Jeff Foster	58	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-3	-3	17.2	15.3	1.82	14.9	17.5	-2.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.26,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, DAL 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.1%
PHX 97, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
NOH 123, GSW 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%