NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	90		Excitement	6.6 [506]		MVP	Thabo Sefolosha (ATL): +12.0%
Atlanta Hawks	101		Comeback	1.1 [1184]		LVP	Jabari Parker (MIL): -13.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Henson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.00	11	65%	0.16	2	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	6	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jared Cunningham	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	37%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	14	37%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Monroe	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	7	35%	-0.07	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Khris Middleton	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	14	33%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jabari Parker	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	18	45%	-0.03	4	-0.10	6	50%	-0.04

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.01	8	62%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.01	12	58%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	6	69%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	43%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.05	-0.03	17	47%	0.14	6	-0.14	4	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	45%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	9	28%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	16	44%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	27.5	15.4	26.4	0.2	27.1	120.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +19.8%

ATL +4.3%

ATL +4.4%

ATL +21.5%

MIL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ATL	NBA	MIL	ATL	NBA
this game	15.7	15.1	14.9	95.7	108.6	105.1
season	14.8	14.2		102.8	104.1
opponent	15.1	15.3		100.3	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.8	14.5	16.5	17.1	15.7
ATL	14.0	15.5	16.2	14.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	77	75	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-9	7	15.7	15.7	0.01	15.7	12.4	3.28
Greg Monroe	50	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-5	-1	15.0	16.5	-1.52	15.6	14.6	1.03
John Henson	49	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.18	-1	-10	9	16.0	15.4	0.56	14.7	15.5	-0.74
Jared Cunningham	30	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-5	-1	15.7	15.7	-0.07	14.4	15.4	-1.06
Jerryd Bayless	62	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-5	-1	15.5	16.1	-0.53	15.4	14.4	1.04
Miles Plumlee	33	35	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-8	5	16.0	15.5	0.49	14.2	15.6	-1.37
Khris Middleton	71	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-7	3	15.5	16.2	-0.67	15.6	13.7	1.91
Tyler Ennis	25	26	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-5	-1	16.7	15.4	1.32	13.8	15.6	-1.83
Jabari Parker	73	72	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.10	-21	10	-31	15.9	15.1	0.73	14.7	16.2	-1.49

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	65	65	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-1	13	15.0	15.4	-0.44	15.6	15.9	-0.27
Kyle Korver	61	61	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.11	14	-3	17	14.7	15.8	-1.16	15.9	15.5	0.40
Thabo Sefolosha	47	48	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	0	11	14.9	15.3	-0.43	16.4	15.0	1.31
Kris Humphries	33	34	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-3	17	14.5	15.4	-0.88	17.4	14.7	2.71
Dennis Schroder	28	28	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	3	5	14.3	15.4	-1.09	15.2	15.9	-0.76
Jeff Teague	65	66	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.11	3	8	-5	15.4	14.3	1.09	15.9	15.2	0.76
Al Horford	62	63	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	15	-19	15.7	13.8	1.97	15.0	17.2	-2.26
Tim Hardaway Jr.	33	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	12	-13	15.6	14.8	0.81	15.8	15.7	0.08
Kent Bazemore	45	45	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	13	-15	15.5	14.7	0.74	14.8	16.6	-1.75
Mike Scott	26	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.10	0	11	-11	14.6	15.3	-0.71	15.5	15.8	-0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.63,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.98,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 85, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1	93.7%
ORL 90, DEN 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.83,0.82,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,1	93.6%
NOP 81, MEM 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.6%