NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	81		Excitement	6.3 [545]		MVP	Austin Rivers (NOP): +8.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	93		Comeback	1.2 [849]		LVP	Luke Babbitt (NOP): -13.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Rivers	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	4	87%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	3	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Davis	0.04	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	12	54%	0.09	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Darius Miller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	14	23%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	7	26%	-0.09	0	0.00	9	44%	-0.07
Tyreke Evans	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	17	50%	0.02	4	-0.13	8	62%	-0.03
Jrue Holiday	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	11	43%	-0.03	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	14	34%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	12	54%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	7	64%	0.14	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	12	67%	-0.05
Jordan Adams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	12	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	8	50%	-0.06
Mike Conley	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	10	41%	-0.04	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	27.5	15.4	32.5	2.5	36.2	140.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +31.0%

MEM +5.9%

MEM +3.9%

MEM +8.4%

MEM +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	MEM	NBA	NOP	MEM	NBA
this game	14.5	15.8	15.1	85.3	97.9	104.2
season	15.8	15.9		106.3	103.8
opponent	15.2	15.2		100.8	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.6	14.8	12.0	16.2	14.5
MEM	16.4	15.8	15.2	15.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miller	9	10	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-16	20	13.6	14.6	-1.07	12.6	16.2	-3.56
Austin Rivers	35	34	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.10	5	-17	22	14.4	14.6	-0.20	15.0	16.2	-1.18
Alexis Ajinca	21	23	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-14	16	14.5	14.5	-0.06	14.5	16.2	-1.67
Tyreke Evans	76	76	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-12	12	14.8	13.4	1.45	16.2	14.3	1.91
Omer Asik	52	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	-4	-4	14.9	14.0	0.92	16.3	15.2	1.08
Anthony Davis	61	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-4	-4	14.7	14.1	0.59	16.4	14.7	1.64
Ryan Anderson	56	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-2	-8	13.9	15.4	-1.46	15.2	16.6	-1.40
Luke Babbitt	22	23	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	1	-14	13.4	14.9	-1.51	14.8	16.1	-1.33
Eric Gordon	73	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.14	-14	2	-16	14.8	13.8	0.98	16.1	14.7	1.39
Jrue Holiday	70	71	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.06	-18	6	-24	14.5	14.5	0.01	16.2	14.7	1.50

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Pondexter	54	53	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.10	17	-5	22	14.7	17.3	-2.60	14.3	14.8	-0.55
Zach Randolph	65	66	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.04	18	-6	24	16.1	15.1	0.96	14.5	14.5	0.01
Mike Conley	61	60	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.14	19	-7	26	16.1	15.2	0.86	14.0	15.3	-1.29
Marc Gasol	77	77	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	2	8	16.0	15.0	0.97	15.0	12.4	2.64
Tony Allen	59	57	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	4	4	16.6	14.4	2.17	14.6	14.4	0.13
Tayshaun Prince	64	65	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	10	-8	15.7	15.9	-0.22	14.8	14.0	0.72
Beno Udrih	33	33	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.28	-5	17	-22	15.5	15.9	-0.37	15.7	13.9	1.84
Kosta Koufos	17	17	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	8	-4	14.9	16.0	-1.10	12.9	14.9	-2.00
Jordan Adams	2	3	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	16	-20	11.0	15.9	-4.89	7.3	14.8	-7.43
Jon Leuer	12	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	15	-18	17.3	15.6	1.77	14.9	14.5	0.46
Vince Carter	31	31	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	18	-24	15.1	16.1	-1.03	14.2	14.7	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, ATL 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.63,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	93.6%
CLE 75, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.72,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%
ORL 91, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.8,0.79,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.72,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.1%