NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	103		Excitement	10.4 [55]		MVP	Emmanuel Mudiay (DEN): +69.7%
Denver Nuggets	104		Comeback	24.2 [83]		LVP	Darrell Arthur (DEN): -23.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23	0.08	0.13	-0.02	11	62%	0.23	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Hollis Thompson	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.07	0.15	-0.01	12	58%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.01	0.14	-0.01	11	50%	0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
TJ McConnell	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	10	77%	0.21	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Robert Covington	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13	0.01	-0.01	-0.14	15	50%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.15
Richaun Holmes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.01	4	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	38%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Sonny Weems	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	9	25%	-0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jerami Grant	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	0.01	10	32%	-0.09	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.7	0.70	0.08	0.62	0.00	23	53%	0.72	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.10	0.01	6	75%	0.25	1	-0.03	12	67%	-0.05
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21	0.21	0.11	0.10	-0.00	11	67%	0.21	0	0.00	5	100%	0.07
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	64%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Axel Toupane	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	4	42%	-0.01	2	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.06	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.02
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24	-0.24	-0.07	-0.17	0.00	13	42%	-0.15	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.7	28.6	15.0	29.3	2.6	39.3	142.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +10.3%

DEN +17.5%

DEN +19.3%

PHI -21.0%

DEN +23.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DEN	NBA	PHI	DEN	NBA
this game	14.1	14.0	14.9	100.0	102.0	105.1
season	14.8	14.9		97.7	104.3
opponent	14.9	14.2		107.8	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.2	14.6	14.4	15.4	14.1
DEN	14.4	11.1	15.0	15.9	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Landry	49	48	0.46	-0.96	1.42	0.49	-1	0	-1	16.0	12.4	3.61	14.3	13.7	0.57
Nik Stauskas	46	44	0.38	-0.88	1.27	-0.03	14	-15	29	13.2	14.9	-1.73	13.7	14.2	-0.46
Richaun Holmes	33	33	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.12	13	-14	27	12.1	15.1	-3.01	14.3	13.8	0.51
Sonny Weems	32	31	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.14	11	-12	23	12.9	14.7	-1.79	12.8	14.5	-1.75
Ish Smith	56	57	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.22	-8	7	-15	15.0	13.1	1.88	14.6	13.2	1.41
Elton Brand	7	7	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	8	-17	13.3	14.2	-0.88	11.4	14.2	-2.75
Jerami Grant	61	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.21	-6	5	-11	14.2	13.9	0.34	13.9	14.1	-0.14
TJ McConnell	47	45	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.69	5	-6	11	13.1	15.0	-1.88	13.2	14.6	-1.41
Robert Covington	60	56	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.97	4	-5	9	12.9	15.7	-2.77	14.3	13.6	0.73
Isaiah Canaan	57	58	-0.88	0.38	-1.27	-0.44	-15	14	-29	14.9	13.2	1.73	14.2	13.7	0.46
Hollis Thompson	67	69	-0.92	0.42	-1.34	-0.54	-13	12	-25	15.3	11.9	3.45	14.2	13.5	0.66

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emmanuel Mudiay	88	89	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.31	16	-15	31	14.0	14.0	-0.01	14.4	12.2	2.19
Darrell Arthur	68	69	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-11	23	13.5	15.0	-1.47	14.4	13.4	0.99
Gary Harris	77	79	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.57	-1	2	-3	13.8	14.6	-0.75	13.5	16.0	-2.52
Nikola Jokic	58	58	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.27	8	-7	15	14.1	13.8	0.34	13.9	14.4	-0.56
D.J. Augustin	57	57	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.13	6	-5	11	13.6	14.5	-0.93	13.7	14.6	-0.87
JaKarr Sampson	35	34	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	1	-1	14.5	13.7	0.75	15.0	13.7	1.29
Will Barton	54	55	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.55	-12	13	-25	14.5	13.4	1.04	14.2	14.0	0.12
Jusuf Nurkic	34	35	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.17	6	-5	11	13.1	14.5	-1.40	15.5	13.4	2.05
Joffrey Lauvergne	8	9	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.13	-15	16	-31	18.1	13.6	4.49	9.4	14.6	-5.11
Axel Toupane	31	30	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.08	-15	16	-31	14.5	13.7	0.80	14.0	14.2	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.49,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.3,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.54,0.72,0.62,0.36,0.15,0.08,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 108, DAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.53,0.41,0.65,0.61,0.45,0.21,0.1,0.42,1	90.8%
BOS 101, IND 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.52,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.45,0.54,0.33,0.16,1	88.1%
NJN 86, WAS 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.4,0.61,0.36,0.23,0.28,1	87.4%