inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 109 Excitement9.3 [117] MVPDraymond Green (GSW): +21.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves 104 Comeback3.5 [774] LVPGreg Smith (MIN): -16.1%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Draymond Green0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.210.060.150.001371%0.384-0.17850%-0.07
Shaun Livingston0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.020.00667%0.0700.0000%0.00
Leandro Barbosa0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.03-0.01756%0.101-0.05250%-0.01
Marreese Speights0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.05-0.01-0.00667%0.0400.0000%0.00
Anderson Varejao0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00283%0.071-0.05250%-0.03
Klay Thompson0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0.010.04-0.030.001457%0.062-0.052100%0.01
James Michael McAdoo-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.01839%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Brandon Rush-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.03-0.00642%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Harrison Barnes-0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06-0.00-0.050.01743%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Stephen Curry-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13-0.08-0.10-0.051747%-0.025-0.11683%0.05
Ian Clark-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.06-0.070.00125%-0.032-0.10250%-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.12,0.120.120.070.060.011960%0.162-0.05250%-0.01
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.001100%0.0400.002100%0.01
Ricky Rubio0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.030.030.04-0.01-0.00980%0.196-0.167100%0.04
Shabazz Muhammad0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00633%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Gorgui Dieng0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.04-0.00744%-0.022-0.064100%0.03
Zach LaVine0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.06-0.150.001363%-0.022-0.07475%0.00
Tyus Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.040.0020%-0.041-0.0400%0.00
Andrew Wiggins0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14-0.140.01-0.15-0.012147%-0.091-0.051173%-0.01
Greg Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.08-0.080.0040%-0.131-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.81.831.314.826.81.841.7141.9
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +64.0%
MIN -15.5%
GSW +6.6%
MIN -2.6%
MIN -2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWMINNBAGSWMINNBA
this game13.914.814.9107.9104.0105.1
season13.714.8112.3104.8
opponent15.015.1108.4102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW14.717.211.013.713.9
MIN13.615.512.718.214.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Draymond Green81790.66-0.160.820.428-31113.515.4-1.9813.818.5-4.71
Klay Thompson64630.53-0.030.560.4432114.013.60.4614.016.2-2.16
Shaun Livingston41390.390.110.270.3323-113.214.3-1.0815.614.31.25
Stephen Curry75740.380.120.260.3805-514.113.11.0013.817.7-3.96
Ian Clark16170.220.28-0.050.027-2911.014.4-3.4017.714.23.50
Brandon Rush36380.220.28-0.05-0.0710-51515.413.02.4217.113.43.76
Harrison Barnes68670.210.29-0.070.42-712-1913.913.70.2414.515.3-0.80
Marreese Speights28270.160.34-0.17-0.016-1712.814.3-1.4916.414.22.25
James Michael McAdoo41410.050.45-0.40-0.0432113.614.0-0.4611.816.9-5.04
Leandro Barbosa3838-0.140.64-0.78-0.1405-513.514.1-0.5816.114.02.02
Anderson Varejao1717-0.190.69-0.880.01-712-1917.813.14.7619.813.85.98

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gorgui Dieng59620.06-0.560.62-0.209-142314.415.3-0.9213.514.5-1.06
Greg Smith1817-0.08-0.420.35-0.02-2-3117.214.32.8913.314.0-0.68
Shabazz Muhammad3331-0.09-0.410.32-0.00-3-2-116.514.02.5614.213.70.48
Tyus Jones3029-0.18-0.320.15-0.00-61-716.913.92.9513.514.0-0.53
Ricky Rubio7072-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.351-6713.916.9-2.9514.013.50.53
Andrew Wiggins8686-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.30-1-4314.516.6-2.0614.013.30.62
Zach LaVine8283-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.400-5514.317.2-2.9514.411.62.81
Tayshaun Prince4041-0.540.04-0.58-0.13-149-2316.014.01.9614.013.70.32
Karl-Anthony Towns8284-0.630.13-0.76-0.37-94-1314.117.9-3.7713.515.8-2.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.38,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.7,0.72,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.49,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 93, SAS 870.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.16,091.3%
MIN 96, VAN 940.5,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.27,091.3%
POR 111, NOP 1030.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.7,0.68,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.69,0.39,0.22,0.23,0,090.9%