NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	90		Excitement	8.2 [244]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +51.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	87		Comeback	7.8 [172]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -14.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.51	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.17,0.34,0.51	0.10	0.40	-0.01	20	59%	0.53	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jose Calderon	0.36	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.36	0.01	0.36	0.01	7	64%	0.41	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	7	84%	0.19	3	-0.10	5	80%	-0.08
Jerian Grant	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	6	43%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Langston Galloway	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	64%	0.08	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Arron Afflalo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	9	41%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	31%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.04
Sasha Vujacic	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	8	28%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.39	0.39	0.06	0.32	-0.01	12	62%	0.41	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.07	0.00	6	73%	0.16	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.07	-0.03	5	36%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.04
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	78%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Marcelo Huertas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.10	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	16	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	7	39%	-0.03	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	15	41%	-0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	21.6	15.4	27.2	2.5	32.0	126.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +61.8%

LAL -8.4%

LAL -4.9%

LAL -5.0%

NYK +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	LAL	NBA	NYK	LAL	NBA
this game	16.1	15.0	14.9	97.8	93.5	105.1
season	15.6	15.2		103.5	100.1
opponent	14.5	14.8		109.9	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.4	16.0	16.5	18.0	16.1
LAL	14.4	16.0	13.5	16.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	38	39	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.52	8	-5	13	14.4	17.4	-3.00	14.0	15.7	-1.74
Robin Lopez	70	72	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.35	9	-6	15	15.1	19.5	-4.43	15.3	14.1	1.12
Carmelo Anthony	73	75	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.40	5	-2	7	15.1	20.1	-4.94	15.1	14.6	0.50
Jose Calderon	68	70	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.36	6	-3	9	15.5	18.0	-2.47	15.0	15.1	-0.16
Arron Afflalo	52	51	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.38	-3	6	-9	17.0	15.0	1.96	15.2	14.8	0.41
Derrick Williams	62	62	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	-6	15	16.2	16.0	0.14	14.9	15.2	-0.27
Jerian Grant	24	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	6	-9	18.0	15.5	2.47	15.1	15.0	0.16
Kyle O'Quinn	22	21	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	9	-15	19.5	15.1	4.43	14.1	15.3	-1.12
Langston Galloway	51	52	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.09	-10	13	-23	18.0	13.8	4.15	15.6	14.3	1.24

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Kelly	9	8	0.47	-0.97	1.45	0.21	9	-12	21	16.0	14.9	1.10	22.0	15.6	6.43
Metta World Peace	28	29	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.08	6	-9	15	14.8	15.1	-0.32	19.0	14.8	4.14
Brandon Bass	46	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.38	6	-9	15	15.3	14.8	0.49	17.8	14.4	3.47
Julius Randle	47	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	4	-11	14.6	15.5	-0.93	14.5	17.7	-3.26
Lou Williams	47	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.40	6	-9	15	15.1	14.9	0.28	17.8	14.4	3.34
Marcelo Huertas	47	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.38	5	-8	13	15.3	14.7	0.67	17.5	14.7	2.87
Jordan Clarkson	46	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	5	-13	14.7	15.3	-0.67	14.7	17.5	-2.87
D'Angelo Russell	46	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	6	-15	14.9	15.1	-0.28	14.4	17.8	-3.34
Larry Nance Jr.	46	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.40	4	-7	11	15.5	14.6	0.93	17.7	14.5	3.26
Roy Hibbert	47	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	6	-15	14.8	15.3	-0.49	14.4	17.8	-3.47
Kobe Bryant	56	55	-1.07	0.57	-1.64	-0.54	-18	15	-33	15.0	15.1	-0.12	13.8	19.6	-5.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.39,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.09,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.53,0.84,0.68,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 71, CHA 69	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.25,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.58,0	93.1%
IND 105, NYK 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.14,0.24,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.53,0.85,0.55,0.42,0	92.3%
MEM 99, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.71,0.42,0	90.9%