NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	105		Excitement	9.5 [93]		MVP	Jarrett Jack (IND): +81.8%
New York Knicks	103		Comeback	5.7 [161]		LVP	T.J. Ford (IND): -42.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0.82	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.33,0.82	0.17	0.66	0.01	14	88%	0.96	5	-0.14	5	100%	0.04
Danny Granger	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.06	-0.00	10	73%	0.24	2	-0.06	10	100%	0.08
Troy Murphy	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13	-0.06	0.14	-0.05	14	44%	0.18	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.05
Brandon Rush	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	8	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	40%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Marquis Daniels	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.21,-0.21	-0.03	-0.17	0.01	17	37%	-0.21	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.43	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.28,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43	-0.21	-0.23	-0.01	9	11%	-0.17	5	-0.26	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.16	0.16	-0.08	0.23	-0.01	15	38%	0.26	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.05
David Lee	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.07	0.01	15	81%	0.28	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.04,0,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.2,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	21	57%	0.15	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.00
Anthony Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.09	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.02
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	14	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	8%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.00	7	37%	-0.05	6	-0.28	2	50%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	26.5	16.8	32.0	1.8	32.6	134.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +58.7%

NYK -16.3%

NYK -2.6%

IND +10.0%

IND +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	13.5	13.8	15.5	100.0	97.2	106.4
season	14.1	13.8		106.5	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.3		109.1	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.0	14.4	13.5	13.2	13.5
NYK	15.3	13.4	13.1	13.4	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	89	90	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.41	9	-7	16	13.5	13.6	-0.06	13.8	13.8	-0.03
Troy Murphy	85	85	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.37	7	-5	12	13.0	15.7	-2.76	13.1	16.6	-3.48
Marquis Daniels	80	81	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	-3	8	12.8	15.6	-2.79	13.2	15.7	-2.48
Danny Granger	88	87	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	0	2	13.0	16.3	-3.32	14.2	11.9	2.24
T.J. Ford	54	55	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.46	-4	6	-10	14.8	12.2	2.60	14.0	13.5	0.53
Roy Hibbert	29	28	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.06	7	-5	12	10.8	14.6	-3.81	13.2	14.0	-0.72
Travis Diener	22	23	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	3	-4	14.0	13.4	0.67	13.8	13.8	0.06
Brandon Rush	32	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	5	-8	15.2	12.8	2.41	14.8	13.3	1.55
Jeff Foster	38	40	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.13	-6	8	-14	15.5	12.4	3.11	14.4	13.4	0.95
Josh McRoberts	8	8	-0.15	0.66	-0.81	0.02	-6	8	-14	15.6	13.3	2.28	15.4	13.7	1.72

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Roberson	12	11	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-4	6	11.9	14.0	-2.10	15.6	13.3	2.37
Nate Robinson	68	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.44	9	-11	20	14.5	12.4	2.12	14.6	11.8	2.88
Quentin Richardson	60	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	3	-8	13.4	14.3	-0.88	12.9	14.5	-1.61
Al Harrington	65	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.47	8	-10	18	14.2	13.1	1.12	14.4	12.0	2.37
Jared Jeffries	65	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	10	-22	13.9	13.6	0.24	13.0	14.3	-1.24
Wilson Chandler	84	84	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.36	-2	0	-2	13.3	15.5	-2.17	13.2	14.8	-1.56
David Lee	89	89	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.38	-5	3	-8	13.7	14.4	-0.68	13.3	14.9	-1.61
Chris Duhon	87	86	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.43	-5	3	-8	13.9	13.4	0.44	13.1	15.3	-2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.14,0.24,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.53,0.85,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 90, LAL 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.39,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.09,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.53,0.84,0.68,0.58,0	92.3%
ATL 94, WAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.09,0.12,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.33,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.42,0	91.4%
MIA 97, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.62,0.54,0.43,0.28,0	91.0%