NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	92		Excitement	3.2 [1168]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +11.1%
Miami Heat	108		Comeback	1.0 [1300]		LVP	Alex Len (PHX): -7.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.14	-0.00	0.10	21	67%	0.07	4	-0.03	9	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
PJ Tucker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	48%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Sonny Weems	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
John Jenkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	8	28%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Alex Len	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	14	36%	-0.02	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	17	61%	0.12	2	-0.01	10	90%	0.02
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.01	5	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	18	62%	0.09	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	8	53%	0.06	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	7	29%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	30.6	15.6	26.1	2.4	30.6	131.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +40.6%

MIA +1.0%

MIA +6.6%

PHX -0.8%

MIA +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIA	NBA	PHX	MIA	NBA
this game	13.8	15.5	14.9	94.8	109.1	105.1
season	14.4	15.5		100.9	104.5
opponent	15.1	14.4		103.1	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.3	12.5	14.2	13.5	13.8
MIA	13.0	14.2	16.4	19.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Phil Pressey	5	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-15	14	10.4	14.0	-3.63	18.5	15.4	3.10
Sonny Weems	7	7	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	-9	2	12.0	14.0	-1.99	11.1	15.9	-4.72
Jon Leuer	19	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-9	2	12.8	14.1	-1.25	12.3	16.4	-4.05
Ronnie Price	37	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-10	4	15.2	13.0	2.22	14.6	16.2	-1.59
PJ Tucker	60	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	-6	-4	13.9	13.7	0.19	16.9	13.3	3.59
Tyson Chandler	37	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-5	-6	15.2	13.0	2.22	15.6	15.5	0.15
Mirza Teletovic	58	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-11	6	13.1	14.9	-1.76	15.4	15.8	-0.43
Devin Booker	78	78	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	-8	0	14.2	12.3	1.97	16.0	13.8	2.18
John Jenkins	54	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-8	0	13.4	14.4	-0.99	15.3	15.8	-0.55
Alex Len	78	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	-7	-2	14.1	12.8	1.25	16.4	12.3	4.05
Archie Goodwin	52	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-8	0	13.1	14.8	-1.70	14.7	16.4	-1.75

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	74	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.12	19	-3	22	14.8	17.7	-2.88	14.0	13.5	0.50
Amar'e Stoudemire	47	46	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.18	17	-1	18	16.3	14.9	1.39	15.3	12.5	2.73
Justise Winslow	60	60	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	8	0	15.7	15.2	0.49	13.4	14.5	-1.12
Dwyane Wade	63	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	3	10	16.8	13.2	3.62	14.7	12.3	2.48
Josh Richardson	47	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.02	9	7	2	15.1	15.9	-0.72	13.8	13.9	-0.16
Joe Johnson	62	61	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.09	12	4	8	16.3	14.3	1.96	14.1	13.4	0.77
Luol Deng	59	57	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	10	-4	15.4	15.7	-0.38	13.9	13.7	0.20
Hassan Whiteside	52	51	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.21	-1	17	-18	14.9	16.3	-1.39	12.5	15.3	-2.73
Gerald Green	25	25	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	14	-12	12.2	16.6	-4.45	12.3	14.4	-2.06
Josh McRoberts	6	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	21	-26	19.5	15.3	4.23	11.0	14.1	-3.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 102, MIL 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	96.6%
CHI 86, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
WAS 96, MIL 123	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%