NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	95		Excitement	9.6 [94]		MVP	Jae Crowder (BOS): +57.5%
Boston Celtics	100		Comeback	3.6 [462]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): -28.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shelvin Mack	0.51	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.51	0.08	0.43	-0.01	13	67%	0.58	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Raul Neto	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.01	18	49%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Chris Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.08	0.03	-0.01	17	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.01,-0.1,-0.1	0.00	-0.10	0.01	8	50%	-0.09	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.06
Derrick Favors	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	15	35%	-0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	-0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.28	-0.10	-0.18	0.00	20	36%	-0.24	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.05

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.57	0.57	0.16	0.43	0.02	12	71%	0.57	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.24	0.24	0.09	0.16	0.00	13	60%	0.24	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.04	-0.03	2	75%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	10	42%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Jordan Mickey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	6	67%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	19	44%	0.02	3	-0.19	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	1.8	27.2	15.6	30.1	2.4	36.4	134.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +57.5%

BOS +10.8%

UTA -4.4%

UTA -9.1%

UTA -4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	BOS	NBA	UTA	BOS	NBA
this game	17.8	12.5	14.9	99.0	106.4	105.1
season	16.3	13.9		104.6	104.5
opponent	15.0	15.0		101.9	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.9	18.7	17.0	18.7	17.8
BOS	12.6	11.8	11.6	14.0	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raul Neto	37	34	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.17	3	-8	11	19.1	17.0	2.07	11.9	12.8	-0.89
Rodney Hood	69	66	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.25	4	-9	13	17.7	18.1	-0.41	13.3	10.5	2.77
Trey Lyles	47	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-1	-3	18.0	17.6	0.47	12.7	12.3	0.40
Joe Ingles	23	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.06	-9	4	-13	18.2	17.7	0.52	10.0	13.2	-3.30
Chris Johnson	30	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.14	-3	-2	-1	17.2	18.1	-0.89	11.3	13.0	-1.70
Derrick Favors	73	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.24	-1	-4	3	18.5	15.7	2.80	13.1	10.9	2.15
Rudy Gobert	68	69	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	-1	-3	17.0	19.8	-2.83	12.2	13.2	-1.04
Gordon Hayward	75	76	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.39	-5	0	-5	17.7	18.0	-0.22	12.5	12.3	0.25
Shelvin Mack	58	60	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.52	-6	1	-7	17.3	18.6	-1.32	12.8	11.9	0.89

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae Crowder	69	72	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.38	7	-2	9	11.9	14.0	-2.13	16.6	21.4	-4.85
Avery Bradley	72	74	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.39	4	1	3	12.8	11.5	1.34	18.0	17.0	1.07
Evan Turner	54	55	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.19	8	-3	11	12.9	12.0	0.88	18.5	16.8	1.66
Jared Sullinger	54	55	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	4	-3	12.5	12.4	0.05	17.1	18.7	-1.66
Isaiah Thomas	59	61	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.22	-1	6	-7	12.6	12.3	0.35	17.0	19.2	-2.23
Jordan Mickey	15	14	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.04	7	-2	9	11.3	12.7	-1.36	18.3	17.7	0.59
Tyler Zeller	34	35	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	0	5	12.4	12.5	-0.15	20.1	16.5	3.58
Jonas Jerebko	21	22	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	6	-7	13.3	12.2	1.10	20.9	16.9	4.06
Marcus Smart	49	48	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	3	-1	12.4	12.5	-0.10	18.4	17.2	1.15
Amir Johnson	43	44	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.24	-7	12	-19	12.3	12.6	-0.33	16.3	19.0	-2.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.3,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 90, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.42,1	92.7%
NOH 83, MIA 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.43,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.34,0.58,1	92.0%
DET 81, NOH 82	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.29,0.3,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.73,0.69,0.54,0.4,0.54,0.64,0.68,0.83,1	91.9%