NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	121		Excitement	11.0 [37]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +100.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	118		Comeback	47.1 [28]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -36.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	1.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.23,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.47,0.64,0.52,1.01	0.34	0.68	0.01	24	82%	1.12	3	-0.11	8	75%	0.03
Klay Thompson	0.64	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.35,0.64	0.15	0.50	0.00	23	60%	0.66	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.05
Andre Iguodala	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.05	0.33	0.02	8	67%	0.39	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.21
Marreese Speights	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	64%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Draymond Green	-0.37	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37	-0.18	-0.20	-0.02	8	10%	-0.28	3	-0.08	5	40%	-0.08

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.31,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46	0.46	0.13	0.27	-0.05	26	66%	0.56	5	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.04	0.25	-0.02	12	58%	0.32	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.13	0.01	9	56%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	92%	0.13	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	56%	0.05	3	-0.09	6	33%	-0.04
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	7	44%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.16	-0.04	29	39%	-0.07	7	-0.24	8	75%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.3	3.4	26.5	16.6	30.3	3.4	37.9	2.7	18.8	162.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +29.4%

GSW +42.9%

OKC -45.3%

GSW +29.1%

OKC -6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	OKC	NBA	GSW	OKC	NBA
this game	12.9	14.9	14.9	105.2	103.5	105.1
season	13.7	14.4		112.3	111.5
opponent	15.1	15.1		104.4	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
GSW	13.4	15.2	11.7	12.4	10.3	12.9
OKC	14.4	13.6	13.6	18.2	15.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	96	95	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.46	10	-7	17	12.2	16.2	-4.01	15.5	12.2	3.25
Andre Iguodala	74	75	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.39	10	-7	17	12.3	14.0	-1.69	14.8	15.2	-0.47
Stephen Curry	84	84	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.48	6	-3	9	11.8	15.8	-3.99	14.9	15.0	-0.11
Harrison Barnes	71	70	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.54	1	2	-1	13.1	12.5	0.62	15.8	13.5	2.28
Klay Thompson	84	85	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.58	-1	4	-5	12.8	13.0	-0.23	15.3	13.9	1.33
Marreese Speights	29	27	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.09	8	-5	13	12.6	12.9	-0.32	13.4	15.4	-2.03
Leandro Barbosa	31	29	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.17	4	-1	5	13.0	12.8	0.23	13.9	15.3	-1.33
Shaun Livingston	38	37	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.13	2	1	1	15.7	11.5	4.18	15.4	14.7	0.64
Anderson Varejao	22	21	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.14	2	1	1	15.3	12.3	3.04	14.8	14.9	-0.14
Brandon Rush	7	8	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.02	-8	11	-19	13.1	12.8	0.30	13.5	15.0	-1.53
Andrew Bogut	39	39	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	0.13	-19	22	-41	13.5	12.5	1.03	13.4	15.7	-2.30

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	80	84	0.54	-1.04	1.58	0.10	15	-18	33	15.0	14.7	0.26	13.6	10.8	2.77
Steven Adams	58	59	0.34	-0.84	1.19	0.20	5	-8	13	15.1	14.8	0.27	13.3	12.4	0.88
Enes Kanter	39	40	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.13	1	-4	5	13.8	15.5	-1.67	13.7	12.4	1.32
Randy Foye	12	13	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.08	-6	3	-9	16.2	14.8	1.49	14.4	12.7	1.72
Andre Roberson	79	78	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.56	2	-5	7	15.3	14.1	1.12	13.2	12.2	1.03
Serge Ibaka	90	90	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.58	-1	-2	1	14.7	15.7	-1.00	12.3	14.9	-2.63
Kyle Singler	52	52	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.41	-8	5	-13	14.3	15.4	-1.06	12.1	13.5	-1.47
Russell Westbrook	90	90	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.56	-5	2	-7	15.3	13.3	2.01	12.7	13.3	-0.54
Dion Waiters	70	69	-0.97	0.47	-1.44	-0.44	-18	15	-33	14.9	15.0	-0.13	11.9	14.3	-2.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.47,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.83,0.91,0.5,0.75,0.54,0.67,0.85,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 106, CHA 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.83,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.42,0	88.6%
DAL 112, OKC 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.97,1,1,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.41,0	87.7%
UTA 110, SAC 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.7,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.73,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.46,0.75,0.71,0.55,0.73,0	87.6%