inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 98 Excitement8.3 [218] MVPMarvin Williams (CHA): +49.5%
Charlotte Hornets 95 Comeback6.7 [146] LVPSpencer Hawes (CHA): -17.9%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0.390,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.390.050.350.012047%0.3900.00367%0.03
Justise Winslow0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.130.050.080.00667%0.1300.0000%0.00
Goran Dragic0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.060.011055%0.1000.002100%0.01
Hassan Whiteside0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09-0.010.09-0.01853%0.152-0.06367%-0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire-0.030,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.01544%-0.0300.00650%-0.03
Beno Udrih-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00633%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.050.01-0.07-0.012055%0.033-0.0800%0.00
Luol Deng-0.060,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.040.02842%-0.021-0.04367%-0.02
Gerald Green-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.05-0.011130%-0.071-0.041100%0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.39,0.5,0.50.500.220.280.011777%0.5000.001100%0.00
Nicolas Batum0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.080.02-0.011278%0.234-0.113100%0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,00.000.05-0.040.01760%0.0000.001100%0.00
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.00633%-0.0200.0000%0.00
PJ Hairston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Kemba Walker0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,-0.04-0.040.03-0.050.011853%0.122-0.162100%0.02
Cody Zeller0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01735%-0.001-0.04367%-0.00
Jeremy Lin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.020.02635%-0.0500.00580%0.01
Frank Kaminsky0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.0020%-0.042-0.0500%0.00
Spencer Hawes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18-0.18-0.09-0.10-0.00520%-0.082-0.1000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.12.327.618.321.91.836.2134.3
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA -15.2%
MIA +15.3%
MIA +25.9%
MIA +22.9%
MIA +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACHANBAMIACHANBA
this game15.314.614.9101.099.0105.1
season15.515.1104.5105.5
opponent14.815.1103.6103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.015.218.114.215.3
CHA14.213.015.315.814.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Bosh71710.73-0.230.960.4111-81915.315.20.1314.016.0-1.96
Luol Deng56560.67-0.170.830.73-25-715.614.80.8414.614.50.09
Goran Dragic63640.470.030.440.267-41115.714.61.0815.113.41.77
Gerald Green49500.460.040.41-0.0718-153314.216.4-2.1514.115.1-0.99
Dwyane Wade59580.310.190.120.52-710-1715.714.61.0814.614.50.13
Justise Winslow68670.270.230.040.42-58-1315.015.9-0.8714.414.8-0.35
Hassan Whiteside56550.010.49-0.48-0.228-51314.516.4-1.8714.914.10.71
Beno Udrih3228-0.180.68-0.85-0.03-58-1315.415.20.1314.414.6-0.22
Amar'e Stoudemire3131-0.240.74-0.980.05-1013-2316.614.71.9014.914.40.57

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cody Zeller47490.25-0.751.00-0.1614-173114.714.40.2517.213.33.95
PJ Hairston28290.03-0.530.560.030-3313.115.1-1.9914.715.5-0.85
Frank Kaminsky3134-0.07-0.430.360.11-63-914.214.7-0.5814.315.8-1.58
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist5958-0.08-0.420.33-0.173-6915.213.51.7316.014.21.81
Nicolas Batum7778-0.21-0.290.08-0.365-81314.614.40.1615.414.80.62
Jeremy Lamb1919-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.06-85-1314.414.6-0.1614.815.4-0.62
Kemba Walker7070-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.475-81314.814.00.8116.113.32.76
Marvin Williams6563-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.523-6914.714.20.5815.814.31.58
Jeremy Lin3537-0.620.12-0.73-0.21-1411-2514.114.8-0.6913.216.6-3.44
Spencer Hawes4948-0.750.25-1.00-0.25-1714-3114.414.7-0.2513.317.2-3.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.66,0.52,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.22,0.68,0.74,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 90, SAC 880.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.78,0.72,090.4%
CHI 102, CHA 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.54,0.72,0.62,0.63,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.59,0.34,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.67,0.58,090.4%
MIA 79, ORL 760.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.53,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.37,0.67,0.9,089.8%