NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	102		Excitement	8.9 [155]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +84.1%
Charlotte Bobcats	99		Comeback	4.5 [153]		LVP	Chris Duhon (CHI): -16.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.84	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.23,0.15,0.37,0.84	0.20	0.63	-0.01	17	83%	0.95	3	-0.11	8	87%	0.07
Jannero Pargo	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.12	0.14	-0.01	10	80%	0.29	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Adrian Griffin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	7	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	14	53%	0.05	3	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	6	40%	-0.07	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.12	0.22	-0.00	12	85%	0.47	3	-0.13	3	67%	-0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	0.00	9	74%	0.12	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Keith Bogans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	11	46%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.03	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.03	0.00	16	45%	0.04	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.06	0.02	9	50%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	4	40%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	6	37%	-0.05	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.0	29.2	14.7	30.1	1.8	34.0	135.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +65.9%

CHA -11.9%

CHI +14.2%

CHA -24.8%

CHI +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHA	NBA	CHI	CHA	NBA
this game	15.1	15.4	15.5	107.4	105.3	104.0
season	15.1	15.5		100.1	99.0
opponent	15.1	15.4		105.4	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.4	15.0	16.7	15.7	15.1
CHA	14.3	15.7	13.3	18.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	58	56	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.32	23	-20	43	13.8	17.2	-3.48	16.4	13.8	2.59
Ben Gordon	47	47	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.37	10	-7	17	13.6	16.6	-2.97	15.8	14.9	0.85
Jannero Pargo	53	53	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.45	5	-2	7	13.4	17.3	-3.89	15.8	14.7	1.12
Othella Harrington	61	62	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.50	-2	5	-7	16.5	12.6	3.89	15.7	14.8	0.88
Tyson Chandler	51	50	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	-11	25	14.5	15.8	-1.27	15.9	14.7	1.19
Antonio Davis	59	58	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.35	-8	11	-19	15.4	14.7	0.68	15.0	15.9	-0.90
Eric Piatkowski	37	35	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	6	-9	17.2	13.8	3.40	15.1	15.5	-0.39
Adrian Griffin	17	16	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	6	-9	12.9	15.6	-2.72	14.9	15.5	-0.59
Chris Duhon	50	51	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.07	-8	11	-19	17.0	13.1	3.89	14.6	16.3	-1.69
Andres Nocioni	42	42	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.06	-13	16	-29	16.0	14.4	1.67	13.6	16.8	-3.24

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kapono	26	27	0.26	-0.76	1.03	0.18	3	-6	9	12.4	16.5	-4.06	13.2	15.9	-2.65
Brevin Knight	62	61	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-5	7	15.2	15.7	-0.45	16.3	12.9	3.39
Malik Allen	18	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-5	7	16.6	15.1	1.48	15.2	15.1	0.13
Matt Carroll	16	16	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	1	-5	17.1	15.0	2.12	12.6	15.6	-3.07
Emeka Okafor	70	70	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	2	-7	14.7	17.2	-2.54	16.1	12.4	3.63
Melvin Ely	32	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	6	-15	16.4	14.8	1.63	14.1	15.6	-1.54
Primoz Brezec	67	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.57	5	-8	13	15.4	15.3	0.09	15.0	15.3	-0.30
Jason Hart	44	46	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	2	-7	15.9	14.9	1.03	13.6	16.6	-3.01
Gerald Wallace	77	76	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.47	-4	1	-5	15.7	13.6	2.09	15.6	13.4	2.18
Keith Bogans	58	61	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.63	0	-3	3	15.2	15.6	-0.36	15.5	14.4	1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.54,0.72,0.62,0.63,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.59,0.34,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.67,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 84, VAN 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.78,0.42,0	90.9%
MIA 98, CHA 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.66,0.52,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.22,0.68,0.74,0	90.4%
SAC 96, WAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.55,0.26,0	90.3%