NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	99		Excitement	5.7 [696]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +21.2%
New Orleans Pelicans	96		Comeback	1.3 [213]		LVP	Norris Cole (NOP): -15.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.14	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14	0.06	0.06	-0.02	24	52%	0.16	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Nick Young	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.01	0.00	3	92%	0.15	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Tarik Black	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	12	50%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	14	64%	0.11	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	7	44%	0.00	5	-0.12	4	50%	-0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.22	0.02	0.02	25	63%	0.24	1	-0.03	12	58%	-0.06
Bryce Dejean-Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	10	61%	0.07	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.02
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.02	14	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Omer Asik	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.02	20	47%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	10	10%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.4	29.4	17.5	28.3	2.8	32.0	138.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +44.9%

LAL +7.9%

LAL +9.2%

NOP -20.2%

LAL +8.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NOP	NBA	LAL	NOP	NBA
this game	16.6	13.3	14.9	104.2	98.0	105.1
season	15.2	14.3		100.1	104.3
opponent	15.0	14.5		107.9	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.0	15.8	16.4	18.1	16.6
NOP	12.9	14.2	14.9	11.4	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	62	65	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.21	16	-13	29	16.4	17.0	-0.65	13.6	12.8	0.75
Jordan Clarkson	69	71	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.12	17	-14	31	16.2	17.7	-1.53	13.7	12.4	1.25
Julius Randle	64	65	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.31	3	0	3	16.6	16.5	0.14	13.2	13.6	-0.39
Roy Hibbert	46	48	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.00	11	-8	19	16.1	17.0	-0.87	14.6	12.0	2.61
D'Angelo Russell	60	60	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.36	-3	6	-9	16.9	16.0	0.92	13.0	13.8	-0.82
Brandon Bass	48	50	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.42	-7	10	-17	17.4	15.8	1.61	12.2	14.4	-2.20
Lou Williams	61	65	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.35	-8	11	-19	16.7	16.3	0.40	13.2	13.5	-0.25
Tarik Black	32	33	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	4	-5	15.9	16.9	-0.97	13.3	13.3	-0.07
Nick Young	33	33	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.20	-13	16	-29	17.0	16.4	0.65	12.8	13.6	-0.75

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	63	62	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.60	26	-29	55	12.8	14.2	-1.37	18.1	13.7	4.42
Omer Asik	32	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	5	-13	14.7	12.7	2.04	15.4	17.1	-1.67
Toney Douglas	11	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	5	-13	13.8	13.3	0.57	16.0	16.7	-0.66
Jrue Holiday	69	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.57	13	-16	29	12.4	15.4	-3.03	17.2	15.0	2.24
Alexis Ajinca	20	20	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	4	-11	13.5	13.3	0.23	15.4	16.9	-1.43
Anthony Davis	78	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.40	4	-7	11	13.3	13.5	-0.23	16.9	15.4	1.43
Norris Cole	27	26	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.15	-15	12	-27	15.9	12.4	3.50	14.7	17.3	-2.60
Ryan Anderson	66	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.49	5	-8	13	12.7	14.7	-2.04	17.1	15.4	1.67
Bryce Dejean-Jones	89	85	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.48	4	-7	11	13.2	14.7	-1.49	16.7	15.4	1.32
Alonzo Gee	35	33	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	0.19	-29	26	-55	14.2	12.8	1.37	13.7	18.1	-4.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.42,0.37,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.18,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.21,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 93, BOS 72	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
ATL 99, CLE 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.8%
OKC 103, PHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.23,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.7%