NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Excitement	8.2 [238]		MVP	DeAndre Jordan (LAC): +26.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	102		Comeback	2.2 [118]		LVP	JJ Redick (LAC): -15.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.26,0.26	0.04	0.16	-0.06	14	55%	0.30	1	-0.04	3	33%	0.02
Andrew Wiggins	0.22	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.22	0.13	0.10	0.01	21	67%	0.34	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.05
Damjan Rudez	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.00	3	133%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	71%	0.15	5	-0.12	5	80%	0.00
Andre Miller	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	60%	0.07	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.03,-0.04,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	0.00	16	50%	0.03	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Ricky Rubio	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	0.00	6	42%	0.00	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.06

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.22,0.27	0.27	0.10	0.17	0.00	8	69%	0.32	1	-0.05	10	40%	-0.09
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	15	52%	0.14	0	0.00	10	100%	0.09
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	1	100%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.05	0.03	14	65%	0.13	2	-0.11	6	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.07	0.00	9	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	4	70%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	5	30%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.10	-0.06	9	25%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.6	29.2	16.4	25.6	3.4	47.7	150.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +23.0%

MIN +14.8%

MIN +17.9%

LAC -9.0%

MIN +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAC	NBA	MIN	LAC	NBA
this game	16.3	15.0	14.9	116.1	112.1	105.1
season	14.8	14.8		104.8	106.6
opponent	14.9	15.0		102.1	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	18.4	16.6	16.4	14.2	16.3
LAC	16.6	14.7	17.9	11.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	62	63	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.23	19	-13	32	15.3	18.3	-3.00	14.3	16.7	-2.38
Andrew Wiggins	70	72	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.24	13	-7	20	16.0	17.0	-0.99	14.7	16.1	-1.36
Ricky Rubio	61	62	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.24	12	-6	18	15.5	17.7	-2.23	13.9	17.5	-3.60
Karl-Anthony Towns	60	60	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	5	-4	15.6	17.4	-1.76	14.4	16.2	-1.76
Zach LaVine	69	66	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.34	-4	10	-14	15.9	17.2	-1.22	14.4	16.6	-2.16
Gorgui Dieng	57	56	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.02	6	0	6	17.7	13.9	3.82	16.1	13.4	2.70
Damjan Rudez	35	31	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	9	-12	17.5	15.5	1.92	17.3	13.9	3.42
Andre Miller	27	24	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	12	-18	17.0	16.0	0.99	17.0	14.3	2.73
Shabazz Muhammad	24	21	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.07	-8	14	-22	17.9	15.7	2.24	16.8	14.5	2.25

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Rivers	12	13	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.03	4	-10	14	17.7	14.6	3.13	20.2	15.6	4.53
Pablo Prigioni	22	23	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-9	12	15.5	14.9	0.62	17.5	15.8	1.68
Cole Aldrich	21	22	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-8	10	15.3	14.9	0.39	17.6	15.8	1.81
Paul Pierce	34	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-2	-2	15.1	15.0	0.04	14.8	17.0	-2.18
Jamal Crawford	51	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.39	7	-13	20	15.2	14.8	0.37	16.2	16.3	-0.14
Wesley Johnson	49	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.33	3	-9	12	15.1	15.0	0.11	17.0	15.3	1.73
Lance Stephenson	23	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	0	-6	14.9	15.1	-0.16	14.6	16.9	-2.27
Luc Mbah a Moute	40	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	7	-20	14.8	15.2	-0.37	16.3	16.2	0.14
JJ Redick	64	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	3	-12	14.5	16.3	-1.74	16.2	16.3	-0.11
DeAndre Jordan	70	71	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.28	-8	2	-10	14.9	15.3	-0.39	15.8	17.6	-1.81
Chris Paul	69	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.28	-9	3	-12	14.9	15.5	-0.62	15.8	17.5	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.42,0.38,0.21,0.24,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.12,0.04,0.15,0.43,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 105, GSW 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.33,0.32,0.15,0.33,0.09,0	90.6%
MIL 102, DEN 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.22,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.41,0.09,0	90.2%
WAS 88, GSW 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.48,0.33,0.23,0.32,0.38,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.46,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.32,0.09,0	89.9%