NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Excitement	5.6 [707]		MVP	Marvin Williams (CHA): +16.7%
Charlotte Hornets	106		Comeback	3.0 [110]		LVP	Mo Williams (CLE): -10.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	17	67%	0.16	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
J.R. Smith	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.04	0.02	14	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	21	49%	0.00	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Kevin Love	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	12	46%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	4	40%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Mo Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	7	36%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.02	0.03	7	94%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.00	0.01	8	94%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	13	65%	0.23	5	-0.11	11	73%	-0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	67%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	5	60%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Hairston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	8	53%	0.04	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.01	14	37%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.6	28.3	15.0	24.2	2.4	35.2	129.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +31.9%

CHA +7.4%

CHA +22.1%

CLE -7.9%

CLE -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHA	NBA	CLE	CHA	NBA
this game	16.7	15.0	14.9	107.8	115.2	105.1
season	15.8	15.1		110.3	105.5
opponent	14.8	14.9		103.6	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.8	18.3	18.7	14.2	16.7
CHA	14.2	16.9	12.0	17.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	16	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-9	9	17.9	16.4	1.44	15.4	14.9	0.48
Timofey Mozgov	13	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.06	-5	-4	-1	17.8	16.5	1.35	15.8	14.8	0.92
Kevin Love	68	69	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-9	9	16.3	18.0	-1.68	15.2	14.2	1.07
Mo Williams	19	21	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	-4	-1	18.4	16.2	2.20	14.7	15.1	-0.40
Kyrie Irving	71	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-5	1	16.2	18.4	-2.20	15.1	14.7	0.40
Tristan Thompson	64	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-4	-1	17.5	14.7	2.75	15.0	15.0	-0.08
Iman Shumpert	40	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-7	5	16.1	17.2	-1.06	16.2	13.9	2.27
Anderson Varejao	14	15	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-2	-5	17.0	16.6	0.37	11.4	15.7	-4.28
J.R. Smith	71	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-1	-7	16.4	17.7	-1.26	14.6	16.2	-1.62
LeBron James	74	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	0	-9	16.4	17.9	-1.44	14.9	15.4	-0.48

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Kaminsky	44	41	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-3	15	15.5	14.5	0.96	17.9	15.7	2.14
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	72	69	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	2	5	14.7	15.8	-1.11	16.5	17.4	-0.96
Cody Zeller	55	56	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	3	3	14.6	15.5	-0.85	16.2	17.5	-1.35
Jeremy Lamb	32	31	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	5	-1	14.6	15.2	-0.64	17.5	16.3	1.26
Jeremy Lin	64	62	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	6	-3	14.2	16.7	-2.44	16.4	17.4	-0.97
Brian Roberts	28	28	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	3	3	16.7	14.2	2.44	17.4	16.4	0.97
Nicolas Batum	60	59	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	4	1	15.2	14.6	0.64	16.3	17.5	-1.26
Spencer Hawes	37	34	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	6	-3	15.5	14.6	0.85	17.5	16.2	1.35
PJ Hairston	20	21	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	7	-5	15.8	14.7	1.11	17.4	16.5	0.96
Marvin Williams	48	49	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	12	-15	14.5	15.5	-0.96	15.7	17.9	-2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.25,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 92, NYK 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
DEN 92, MIN 109	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.9%
MIL 80, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.99,1	93.6%