NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	80		Excitement	5.6 [671]		MVP	Christian Laettner (ATL): +5.3%
Atlanta Hawks	90		Comeback	2.5 [837]		LVP	Vin Baker (MIL): -30.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Newman	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	17	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Joe Wolf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.06	0.01	22	58%	0.06	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Elliot Perry	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	3	0%	-0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	7	36%	-0.05	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.31	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.20	-0.12	-0.01	15	35%	-0.06	7	-0.25	1	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Laettner	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	12	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	11	59%	0.01	0	0.00	12	83%	0.02
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	9	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ivano Newbill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Henry James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	11	42%	-0.06	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	19	43%	-0.07	2	-0.06	9	44%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	25.2	15.7	25.2	1.5	30.5	122.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +5.4%

ATL +12.9%

ATL +5.3%

ATL +26.4%

MIL -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ATL	NBA	MIL	ATL	NBA
this game	16.7	15.3	15.6	89.9	98.9	104.4
season	16.0	16.4		103.9	105.3
opponent	16.0	15.5		100.3	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.2	16.5	17.6	16.5	16.7
ATL	13.8	17.0	14.4	16.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Wolf	29	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-5	0	16.7	16.7	-0.06	15.5	15.2	0.28
Sherman Douglas	49	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-7	4	17.4	15.8	1.60	15.2	15.4	-0.27
Johnny Newman	47	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-11	12	15.1	18.5	-3.35	17.0	13.4	3.54
Armen Gilliam	63	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.26	0	-10	10	17.2	15.5	1.68	15.0	16.1	-1.16
Elliot Perry	40	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	-3	-4	15.8	17.4	-1.60	15.4	15.2	0.27
Glenn Robinson	78	81	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-3	-4	16.6	17.5	-0.93	14.8	19.1	-4.29
Ray Allen	62	63	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.00	-17	7	-24	17.8	14.3	3.44	14.6	16.8	-2.17
Vin Baker	77	80	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.15	-12	2	-14	16.6	17.7	-1.08	15.5	13.8	1.67

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Laettner	74	73	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.13	16	-6	22	14.7	17.9	-3.27	16.8	16.6	0.13
Mookie Blaylock	77	77	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.15	15	-5	20	15.7	13.0	2.70	16.7	16.7	0.07
Steven Smith	73	70	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.18	12	-2	14	14.8	17.3	-2.48	17.4	14.2	3.20
Dikembe Mutombo	73	72	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-2	14	16.1	11.9	4.23	17.0	15.6	1.41
Tyrone Corbin	66	63	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-2	14	14.6	17.2	-2.64	15.9	18.7	-2.72
Jon Barry	33	33	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	8	-6	16.2	14.8	1.45	15.9	17.2	-1.26
Alan Henderson	9	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	12	-14	16.7	15.1	1.53	18.2	16.5	1.66
Ivano Newbill	18	17	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.13	-7	17	-24	14.8	15.4	-0.56	15.2	17.1	-1.85
Eldridge Recasner	14	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	15	-20	13.0	15.7	-2.70	16.7	16.7	-0.07
Henry James	18	18	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	15	-20	17.1	14.8	2.28	17.7	16.5	1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 91, MEM 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
PHI 86, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
NOP 88, MIA 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%