NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	103		Excitement	9.6 [89]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): +78.4%
New Orleans Pelicans	105		Comeback	2.9 [709]		LVP	Markel Brown (BKN): -9.5%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.39	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.39	0.12	0.27	-0.00	23	57%	0.41	1	-0.02	12	58%	-0.05
Thaddeus Young	0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.24,0.24	0.05	0.19	0.01	11	67%	0.31	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.21	0.00	0.21	-0.00	10	50%	0.24	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.00	13	64%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	3	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Andrea Bargnani	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Shane Larkin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.09	0.00	8	72%	0.15	4	-0.23	2	100%	0.01
Markel Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.15,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.15,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.78	0.78	0.09	0.68	-0.01	19	63%	0.90	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.08
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.17	0.21	-0.00	15	71%	0.39	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	-0.02	0.18	-0.01	22	43%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Dejean-Jones	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.01	7	53%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.04	0.01	14	43%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	5	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.5	2.3	28.7	16.3	22.6	2.5	35.2	127.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +20.0%

NOP +4.9%

NOP +16.8%

NOP +6.3%

NOP +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	NOP	NBA	BKN	NOP	NBA
this game	16.4	14.2	14.9	110.8	110.5	105.1
season	15.0	14.3		101.9	104.3
opponent	15.0	14.8		107.9	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	18.5	15.3	18.1	14.5	16.4
NOP	16.7	12.4	14.6	13.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	70	74	0.52	-1.02	1.54	0.08	15	-17	32	16.2	17.1	-0.93	15.0	11.7	3.29
Shane Larkin	53	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-1	0	16.0	17.0	-1.09	13.2	15.5	-2.30
Bojan Bogdanovic	41	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	2	-6	16.8	16.2	0.58	12.9	15.3	-2.46
Andrea Bargnani	19	20	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	7	-16	17.4	16.2	1.25	11.9	14.8	-2.89
Wayne Ellington	61	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.36	4	-6	10	16.5	16.3	0.23	15.5	11.7	3.79
Joe Johnson	68	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.43	6	-8	14	15.7	18.3	-2.58	14.6	13.2	1.40
Markel Brown	16	15	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	8	-18	18.2	16.1	2.20	11.0	14.8	-3.84
Donald Sloan	40	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-1	0	17.0	16.0	1.09	15.5	13.2	2.30
Thaddeus Young	66	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.39	1	-3	4	16.5	16.3	0.24	14.5	13.5	1.04
Thomas Robinson	31	29	-0.92	0.42	-1.34	-0.60	-11	9	-20	16.2	16.5	-0.35	13.2	14.7	-1.43

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	53	51	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.73	7	-5	12	13.0	15.8	-2.83	16.2	16.7	-0.47
Alonzo Gee	74	73	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.48	3	-1	4	14.8	12.3	2.50	17.0	14.5	2.46
Jrue Holiday	47	47	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.34	3	-1	4	12.9	15.5	-2.65	16.8	16.1	0.72
Anthony Davis	77	78	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.49	-3	5	-8	14.6	12.7	1.93	16.5	15.9	0.67
Norris Cole	58	57	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.40	-6	8	-14	15.6	12.1	3.52	16.1	16.9	-0.75
Bryce Dejean-Jones	72	70	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	0	2	14.8	12.4	2.43	15.9	18.1	-2.26
Toney Douglas	34	32	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.06	4	-2	6	11.3	15.9	-4.57	16.4	16.4	0.01
Omer Asik	49	47	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	5	-8	15.3	13.1	2.22	16.4	16.4	0.03
Dante Cunningham	11	10	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	-0.39	3	-1	4	12.9	14.4	-1.50	16.6	16.4	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.79,0.85,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 96, UTA 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.84,0.68,0.58,1	92.5%
MIL 73, MIA 78	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.36,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.68,0.79,0.68,0.74,1	91.4%
SAS 86, NOH 90	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.79,0.85,0.9,1	90.9%