NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	112		Excitement	9.7 [83]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +59.3%
New Orleans Pelicans	111		Comeback	4.1 [214]		LVP	Josh Smith (HOU): -27.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.59	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.59	0.22	0.36	-0.02	20	70%	0.64	2	-0.05	10	100%	0.06
Patrick Beverley	0.20	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.15	0.01	9	61%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	-0.00	5	77%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.04,0.04	0.24	-0.13	0.07	16	91%	0.21	3	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Thornton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.04	0.00	10	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	30%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.14	-0.15	-0.02	11	21%	-0.17	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.04

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.17	0.06	0.01	8	90%	0.21	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	6	58%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.21,0.35,0.25,0.11	0.11	0.13	-0.02	-0.00	21	68%	0.29	4	-0.17	5	80%	0.01
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Babbitt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Dejean-Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.03	0.00	11	42%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	31%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Tyreke Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	6	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.05
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	9	47%	-0.01	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22	-0.22	0.01	-0.24	-0.01	20	48%	-0.19	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	33.7	14.8	25.3	2.3	37.4	139.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +71.2%

HOU +5.7%

HOU +11.7%

NOP -41.0%

HOU +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NOP	NBA	HOU	NOP	NBA
this game	15.2	14.2	14.9	114.3	113.3	105.1
season	14.0	14.3		105.9	104.3
opponent	15.0	15.1		107.9	106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	11.9	16.0	14.9	18.4	15.2
NOP	15.2	14.6	13.3	13.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	65	67	1.00	-0.50	1.49	0.29	24	-23	47	15.6	14.4	1.13	15.9	10.6	5.22
James Harden	80	81	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.44	15	-14	29	15.4	14.1	1.37	15.4	8.7	6.66
Corey Brewer	65	63	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.45	14	-13	27	15.6	14.3	1.31	15.0	12.8	2.24
Trevor Ariza	82	83	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.46	7	-6	13	14.9	16.6	-1.73	14.5	12.7	1.83
Clint Capela	32	33	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.19	24	-23	47	13.1	16.2	-3.13	17.1	12.7	4.38
Josh Smith	56	55	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.64	-14	15	-29	15.9	14.2	1.72	13.5	15.1	-1.65
Terrence Jones	33	32	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	0.13	-19	20	-39	14.4	15.6	-1.13	11.1	15.7	-4.68
Marcus Thornton	39	39	-0.45	0.95	-1.39	0.11	-19	20	-39	15.1	15.2	-0.16	11.2	16.2	-5.04
Ty Lawson	38	37	-0.77	1.27	-2.04	0.02	-27	28	-55	15.3	15.1	0.19	11.1	16.1	-4.99

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexis Ajinca	8	9	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.01	4	-5	9	12.7	14.3	-1.59	15.6	15.1	0.42
Bryce Dejean-Jones	11	11	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.03	2	-3	5	14.4	14.2	0.17	17.9	14.8	3.08
Toney Douglas	54	54	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.61	20	-21	41	12.0	16.9	-4.93	15.9	14.3	1.51
Anthony Davis	41	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	3	-7	15.1	13.6	1.56	13.6	16.2	-2.63
Jrue Holiday	75	76	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.59	16	-17	33	12.7	19.1	-6.37	15.6	13.7	1.92
Omer Asik	13	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.11	-9	8	-17	18.8	13.5	5.25	12.7	15.5	-2.86
Alonzo Gee	69	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	5	-11	14.8	12.8	2.02	14.2	17.4	-3.23
Dante Cunningham	46	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	3	-7	14.8	13.7	1.03	15.6	14.8	0.86
Ryan Anderson	74	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.57	5	-6	11	13.4	16.7	-3.30	15.9	12.8	3.10
Tyreke Evans	30	31	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.15	-23	22	-45	17.7	12.7	5.07	14.1	15.7	-1.53
Norris Cole	69	69	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.39	-6	5	-11	14.7	13.1	1.63	15.3	14.8	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.31,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.19,0.32,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.66,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 99, SEA 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.2,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.27,0	89.3%
MIL 101, SEA 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.3,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.55,0.47,0.3,0.55,0.26,0	88.8%
CHH 102, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.09,0	88.6%