inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 102 Excitement8.6 [192] MVPMarc Gasol (MEM): +61.0%
Denver Nuggets 101 Comeback2.9 [444] LVPDanilo Gallinari (DEN): -21.5%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marc Gasol0.610,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.610.160.470.021471%0.703-0.101090%0.02
Mike Conley0.220,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.22,0.220.140.120.04971%0.2200.001080%0.05
JaMychal Green0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.060.08-0.00487%0.1500.0000%0.00
Ryan Hollins0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.020.00367%0.0400.0000%0.00
Zach Randolph-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.02-0.050.01772%0.083-0.12475%-0.03
Vince Carter-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.00736%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Courtney Lee-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.08,-0.080.05-0.130.01671%0.081-0.162100%0.01
Jeff Green-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.05-0.03943%0.003-0.09367%0.00
Matt Barnes-0.200,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.2-0.05-0.130.011035%-0.181-0.0200%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.06,0.06,0.240.24-0.020.26-0.001061%0.374-0.133100%0.07
Kenneth Faried0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.100.050.011263%0.1400.00333%-0.03
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.000.02382%0.0700.005100%0.02
Mike Miller00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gary Harris0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.010.00939%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Sean Kilpatrick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.00-0.00440%-0.0000.00250%-0.02
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.06-0.060.023112%0.142-0.162100%0.02
Emmanuel Mudiay0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.000.031350%0.001-0.0320%-0.02
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.00735%-0.0300.00367%-0.02
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00440%-0.011-0.022100%0.02
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21-0.210.02-0.210.021550%-0.191-0.034100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.32.526.715.026.22.441.7141.8
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +39.3%
MEM +13.4%
MEM +15.4%
DEN -19.4%
MEM +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMDENNBAMEMDENNBA
this game16.615.014.9112.1111.0105.1
season15.714.9103.4104.3
opponent14.914.8107.8106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM15.517.516.916.616.6
DEN16.514.515.114.015.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marc Gasol66670.67-0.170.830.2913-122516.516.9-0.3315.114.80.24
Jeff Green40400.57-0.070.640.367-61316.117.0-0.9115.514.60.87
Courtney Lee66680.53-0.030.550.2011-102116.118.0-1.9314.915.4-0.51
Mario Chalmers38360.460.040.430.0813-122516.816.50.2616.214.22.05
Matt Barnes70690.300.200.100.42-45-916.616.8-0.1614.516.5-1.96
Zach Randolph56560.160.34-0.180.1601-116.916.30.6214.715.5-0.86
JaMychal Green26260.090.41-0.330.0901-117.416.31.1016.414.41.98
Mike Conley53550.040.46-0.430.39-1213-2516.516.8-0.2614.216.2-2.05
Vince Carter1514-0.140.64-0.770.19-1112-2318.316.31.9515.315.00.32
Ryan Hollins2524-0.170.67-0.830.18-1213-2516.916.50.3314.815.1-0.24

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Miller010.00-0.500.50-0.093-470.015.0-15.010.016.8-16.82
Kenneth Faried4645-0.05-0.450.39-0.03-10-114.815.3-0.5116.416.9-0.56
Gary Harris4141-0.09-0.410.31-0.03-21-314.915.1-0.2916.117.1-1.03
Danilo Gallinari5858-0.16-0.340.19-0.4510-112114.615.7-1.1217.615.02.57
Jusuf Nurkic77-0.16-0.340.170.10-98-1717.314.82.4611.617.1-5.49
Nikola Jokic2727-0.17-0.330.16-0.14-10-114.615.2-0.5416.216.8-0.59
Randy Foye3737-0.20-0.300.11-0.05-54-915.914.41.4417.516.11.39
Sean Kilpatrick2222-0.24-0.260.01-0.16-32-515.514.80.7017.016.50.48
Joffrey Lauvergne5252-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.352-3514.915.1-0.2117.215.81.38
Will Barton5556-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.465-61115.114.80.2916.217.3-1.10
Darrell Arthur4645-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.38-10-115.314.80.5117.316.01.29
Emmanuel Mudiay6464-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.32-32-514.715.8-1.0916.217.7-1.57


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.39,0.3,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.19,0.31,0.29,0.38,0.31,0.21,0.33,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 103, PHX 990.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.2,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.36,0.16,0.26,0.31,0.54,0.31,0.27,091.2%
WAS 94, TOR 920.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.22,0.43,0.28,091.2%
NJN 85, ATL 840.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.33,0.28,090.7%