NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	85		Excitement	7.5 [350]		MVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): +18.1%
Atlanta Hawks	84		Comeback	1.1 [667]		LVP	Antoine Walker (ATL): -33.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18	-0.01	0.18	-0.01	21	50%	0.23	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Nenad Krstic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	8	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Jacque Vaughn	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Travis Best	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.04,-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	22	44%	-0.02	2	-0.05	8	37%	-0.10
Jason Collins	-0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	10	36%	-0.15	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Obinna Ekezie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	1	83%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.05
Jason Collier	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Donta Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	16	61%	0.12	5	-0.16	4	75%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.09,-0.05	-0.05	0.06	-0.11	0.00	11	71%	0.13	2	-0.18	2	100%	0.03
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	0.03	7	36%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	7	31%	-0.03	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.34	-0.34	-0.20	-0.14	0.00	18	29%	-0.34	0	0.00	12	67%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.3	27.5	21.8	25.1	2.4	43.5	147.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +33.5%

ATL -3.4%

ATL -15.7%

NJN +42.7%

ATL -7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ATL	NBA	NJN	ATL	NBA
this game	16.5	15.2	15.5	93.4	92.3	104.0
season	16.0	15.6		99.2	98.1
opponent	15.1	15.6		108.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.5	18.1	17.4	17.5	16.5
ATL	15.3	17.9	14.7	13.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	84	82	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.44	7	-6	13	16.6	15.1	1.44	15.5	11.8	3.77
Nenad Krstic	58	60	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	-2	5	18.1	13.6	4.45	15.9	13.7	2.27
Jabari Smith	41	40	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	-9	19	15.1	17.6	-2.50	14.8	15.5	-0.67
Rodney Buford	67	66	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.40	-3	4	-7	17.6	13.4	4.15	16.0	13.1	2.83
Travis Best	36	34	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	-2	5	15.2	17.3	-2.02	13.5	16.2	-2.63
Vince Carter	79	81	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.41	-5	6	-11	16.0	19.8	-3.87	14.4	21.2	-6.77
Jason Collins	69	70	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.44	-8	9	-17	15.9	18.4	-2.49	14.8	16.5	-1.69
Jerome Moiso	6	5	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	-3	7	19.0	16.3	2.71	15.4	15.2	0.24
Jacque Vaughn	15	17	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	7	-13	15.9	16.6	-0.73	16.9	14.8	2.10

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Obinna Ekezie	23	22	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.25	9	-10	19	13.2	15.8	-2.62	19.5	15.5	4.05
Donta Smith	13	12	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	0	-1	13.1	15.5	-2.45	15.5	16.6	-1.12
Jason Collier	31	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	0	-1	16.3	14.6	1.64	17.1	16.1	0.95
Royal Ivey	13	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	1	-3	11.8	15.7	-3.88	12.5	17.1	-4.58
Josh Smith	61	61	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.25	4	-5	9	16.0	13.6	2.40	16.9	15.6	1.25
Kenny Anderson	11	13	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	1	-3	14.7	15.2	-0.51	17.8	16.2	1.60
Tyronn Lue	67	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.36	3	-4	7	15.9	13.2	2.73	17.2	14.7	2.44
Al Harrington	66	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.52	6	-7	13	15.4	14.7	0.68	17.4	14.1	3.24
Predrag Drobnjak	37	38	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	8	-17	15.5	15.0	0.52	14.2	18.1	-3.93
Antoine Walker	88	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.47	0	-1	1	14.6	31.7	-17.05	16.4	18.5	-2.07
Josh Childress	45	46	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.18	-12	11	-23	15.5	14.8	0.71	14.7	18.3	-3.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.33,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 114, LAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.19,0.36,0.43,0.16,0	92.9%
BOS 93, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.24,0.28,0.38,0.22,0.22,0.27,0	92.9%
CHH 97, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.14,0.36,0.23,0.27,0	92.4%