NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	93		Excitement	8.5 [164]		MVP	Rasho Nesterovic (MIN): +9.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	90		Comeback	1.3 [550]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -48.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.06	-0.01	9	60%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.04
Kenny Anderson	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.00	11	64%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	18	65%	0.17	6	-0.18	12	75%	0.04
Eric Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	13	43%	-0.12	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.01	9	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	70%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	58%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Felipe Lopez	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	8	30%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,-0.24	-0.24	-0.00	-0.24	0.01	16	49%	-0.24	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.18
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,0.01,-0.06,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.08	-0.17	-0.00	12	32%	-0.25	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.17,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.49	-0.49	-0.18	-0.32	-0.02	23	38%	-0.38	4	-0.11	7	57%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.8	28.1	15.8	27.2	1.8	36.1	133.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +84.2%

BOS +2.0%

MIN -21.7%

MIN -15.0%

BOS +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIN	NBA	BOS	MIN	NBA
this game	15.0	17.2	15.6	103.3	101.1	102.3
season	15.0	15.0		100.9	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.7		103.8	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.9	18.2	13.7	15.2	15.0
MIN	17.9	14.5	19.0	17.5	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Anderson	53	51	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.25	13	-10	23	14.2	16.1	-1.87	18.2	16.0	2.20
Eric Williams	38	37	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-8	19	14.5	15.3	-0.74	16.7	17.6	-0.91
Antoine Walker	83	80	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.38	3	0	3	14.7	18.4	-3.77	17.2	17.9	-0.73
Paul Pierce	81	80	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.40	2	1	1	14.6	18.2	-3.63	17.1	18.6	-1.47
Tony Battie	51	48	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	0	3	14.8	15.2	-0.40	16.8	17.8	-1.01
Vitaly Potapenko	38	38	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	3	-3	15.3	14.7	0.62	18.6	16.2	2.34
Erick Strickland	14	16	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	3	-3	12.4	15.4	-3.08	18.2	17.0	1.16
Tony Delk	10	10	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	2	-1	18.5	14.5	3.99	16.8	17.3	-0.49
Walter McCarty	7	11	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.08	-4	7	-11	17.4	14.7	2.68	16.3	17.4	-1.10
Rodney Rogers	53	52	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.14	-6	9	-15	15.3	14.5	0.84	17.6	16.7	0.91

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Loren Woods	2	1	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-5	7	9.0	17.4	-8.43	10.0	15.0	-5.01
Rasho Nesterovic	62	65	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.24	7	-10	17	17.2	17.3	-0.03	15.2	14.4	0.82
Joe Smith	30	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.08	-7	4	-11	17.9	16.9	1.05	13.4	15.8	-2.36
Anthony Peeler	53	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.48	11	-14	25	16.5	18.3	-1.84	16.0	13.5	2.54
Gary Trent	25	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	1	-5	18.2	16.9	1.34	14.9	15.0	-0.11
Robert Pack	33	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-6	9	17.9	16.9	1.02	15.0	14.9	0.03
Marc Jackson	19	19	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	4	-11	17.9	17.1	0.84	14.5	15.1	-0.54
Chauncey Billups	56	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.09	-6	3	-9	16.9	17.9	-1.02	14.9	15.0	-0.03
Wally Szczerbiak	69	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-2	1	16.8	18.6	-1.76	14.7	15.9	-1.21
Sam Mitchell	21	21	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	4	-11	18.0	17.0	1.00	15.0	14.9	0.12
Kevin Garnett	75	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	1	-5	17.4	16.5	0.87	15.1	14.3	0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.24,0.28,0.38,0.22,0.22,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 85, ATL 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.33,0.28,0	92.9%
PHI 96, CHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.33,0.26,0.04,0.05,0.02,0	92.2%
GSW 114, LAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.19,0.36,0.43,0.16,0	91.8%