NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	115		Excitement	9.6 [86]		MVP	E'Twaun Moore (CHI): +52.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	111		Comeback	18.9 [200]		LVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): -23.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore	0.53	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.53	0.13	0.41	0.01	8	87%	0.53	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19	0.10	0.09	-0.00	12	65%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Jimmy Butler	0.19	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.41,0.26,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.06	30	62%	0.51	4	-0.32	25	84%	-0.00
Taj Gibson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.20	-0.02	-0.04	13	25%	-0.08	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Joakim Noah	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.17	-0.10	-0.04	8	37%	-0.02	7	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.17,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.18	0.06	-0.03	16	69%	0.27	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.19,0.38,0.33,0.24,0.17,0.2,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.07	-0.02	25	46%	0.18	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	77%	0.10	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	0.00	11	48%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.11	0.00	7	50%	-0.03	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.11	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.12	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.8	2.5	36.5	15.6	30.2	2.5	29.4	2.5	16.9	159.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +35.4%

CHI +23.7%

CHI +4.3%

PHI -18.8%

CHI +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	14.4	15.3	14.9	107.5	103.7	105.1
season	14.8	14.8		103.7	97.7
opponent	14.2	14.9		108.0	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	15.9	12.2	13.3	16.4	14.7	14.4
PHI	12.9	16.2	15.4	16.4	16.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	59	61	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.48	14	-10	24	15.9	12.6	3.33	16.1	14.3	1.78
Doug McDermott	67	67	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.26	19	-15	34	13.9	15.4	-1.52	15.9	14.3	1.60
Joakim Noah	76	79	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.38	11	-7	18	14.3	14.7	-0.41	15.4	14.9	0.55
E'Twaun Moore	54	53	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.26	15	-11	26	13.8	15.0	-1.22	15.7	14.9	0.79
Jimmy Butler	99	99	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-7	18	14.4	14.1	0.32	15.2	16.5	-1.30
Taj Gibson	72	69	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.16	5	-1	6	15.1	13.0	2.07	14.9	15.9	-1.01
Nikola Mirotic	50	49	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.11	-3	7	-10	14.5	14.3	0.22	14.6	15.9	-1.38
Aaron Brooks	16	15	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.16	-16	20	-36	13.9	14.5	-0.57	13.7	15.6	-1.90
Tony Snell	24	25	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.20	-18	22	-40	13.2	14.8	-1.62	14.7	15.5	-0.81
Bobby Portis	18	18	-0.40	0.90	-1.29	0.13	-18	22	-40	12.9	14.7	-1.84	14.8	15.4	-0.56

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
TJ McConnell	40	38	0.51	-1.01	1.52	-0.02	18	-22	40	14.0	16.1	-2.03	13.0	15.2	-2.24
Hollis Thompson	58	55	0.36	-0.86	1.22	0.04	11	-15	26	15.7	14.9	0.82	13.3	15.7	-2.40
Carl Landry	38	41	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.18	12	-16	28	14.3	15.9	-1.61	14.8	14.2	0.62
Jahlil Okafor	67	69	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.11	9	-13	22	15.2	15.5	-0.36	14.2	14.7	-0.49
Richaun Holmes	7	6	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.07	-2	-2	0	17.9	15.1	2.74	15.7	14.3	1.32
Nik Stauskas	80	82	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-1	-2	15.1	15.9	-0.74	14.7	13.4	1.28
Robert Covington	59	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	6	-16	15.5	15.1	0.39	13.8	15.3	-1.55
Isaiah Canaan	7	8	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.41	-2	-2	0	20.1	15.0	5.18	15.4	14.3	1.03
JaKarr Sampson	51	51	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.38	-7	3	-10	14.9	15.6	-0.68	15.3	13.7	1.59
Nerlens Noel	49	46	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.20	-18	14	-32	15.4	15.2	0.13	14.8	14.1	0.64
Ish Smith	69	69	-0.98	0.48	-1.46	-0.28	-24	20	-44	15.8	14.5	1.28	15.2	13.0	2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.91,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.9,0.81,0.77,0.69,0.54,0.55,0.17,0.5,0.64,0.46,0.24,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 103, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.85,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.66,0.28,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.08,0	87.4%
CHH 110, CLE 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.59,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.14,0.04,0	86.8%
CHI 98, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.54,0.57,0.42,0	86.7%