NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	103		Excitement	9.5 [75]		MVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): +49.9%
Houston Rockets	99		Comeback	16.1 [87]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -35.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.50	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.02,0.15,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.41,0.5	0.09	0.42	0.02	20	60%	0.54	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.06
Al Jefferson	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.16	0.07	0.01	17	67%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.09	0.13	-0.02	8	27%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	33%	0.03
Kyrylo Fesenko	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	67%	0.13	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	4	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Watson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	6	40%	-0.04	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Deron Williams	-0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.35	-0.12	-0.22	0.01	16	38%	-0.11	4	-0.24	5	60%	-0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.12	-0.01	15	50%	0.20	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.03
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.10
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	7	41%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	53%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	17	57%	0.14	3	-0.13	8	75%	0.02
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	9	41%	-0.09	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27	-0.27	-0.17	-0.12	-0.02	13	19%	-0.22	1	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.7	2.4	27.2	15.8	27.2	2.4	35.8	2.5	14.4	151.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +63.1%

HOU -5.7%

UTA +21.9%

HOU -29.9%

UTA +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	16.5	14.9	15.5	102.0	97.1	105.7
season	15.9	15.2		106.4	109.5
opponent	14.9	15.3		107.5	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	16.7	17.7	14.8	17.3	15.5	16.5
HOU	14.6	14.4	16.5	14.8	12.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	64	67	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.49	11	-7	18	15.8	17.6	-1.79	15.6	13.4	2.21
Raja Bell	59	60	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.46	10	-6	16	16.0	17.1	-1.09	15.4	14.0	1.45
Deron Williams	90	91	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.42	7	-3	10	15.8	21.9	-6.09	14.9	14.8	0.04
Al Jefferson	81	83	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.47	5	-1	6	15.8	19.4	-3.70	14.9	14.7	0.14
Paul Millsap	78	80	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	1	2	16.2	17.5	-1.34	15.2	13.7	1.44
Kyrylo Fesenko	12	12	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	3	-2	19.2	16.1	3.14	14.6	14.9	-0.31
Gordon Hayward	16	15	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	3	-2	15.1	16.7	-1.62	12.4	15.3	-2.88
Jeremy Evans	6	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	4	-4	13.8	16.7	-2.82	12.4	15.0	-2.58
Francisco Elson	15	15	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	4	-4	20.5	15.8	4.68	14.1	15.0	-0.84
Ronnie Price	9	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	7	-10	22.7	15.9	6.79	14.9	14.8	0.04
Earl Watson	34	34	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.13	-7	11	-18	17.6	15.9	1.62	14.5	15.0	-0.53
CJ Miles	41	39	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	-0.15	-8	12	-20	18.0	15.4	2.63	13.8	15.5	-1.63

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	35	35	0.41	-0.91	1.32	0.17	8	-12	20	14.7	14.9	-0.17	17.4	16.0	1.44
Courtney Lee	31	30	0.35	-0.85	1.20	0.11	8	-12	20	15.1	14.7	0.40	17.8	15.9	1.82
Ish Smith	17	17	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.09	6	-10	16	15.1	14.8	0.25	20.6	15.7	4.93
Patrick Patterson	17	16	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.01	8	-12	20	14.2	15.0	-0.81	16.4	16.5	-0.06
Jordan Hill	31	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-2	0	17.2	13.8	3.32	15.5	16.9	-1.35
Brad Miller	71	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.42	-2	-2	0	13.8	17.2	-3.32	16.9	15.5	1.35
Luis Scola	84	84	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.39	-12	8	-20	15.1	13.6	1.51	16.7	15.6	1.08
Kyle Lowry	85	84	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.47	-10	6	-16	14.8	15.1	-0.25	15.7	20.6	-4.93
Kevin Martin	71	71	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.50	-12	8	-20	14.7	15.1	-0.40	15.9	17.8	-1.82
Shane Battier	68	67	-0.91	0.41	-1.32	-0.56	-12	8	-20	14.7	15.1	-0.31	15.8	17.9	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.85,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.66,0.28,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 103, UTA 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.82,0.89,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.79,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.46,0.28,0.1,0.15,0	89.8%
MIN 101, SAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.57,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.1,0.02,0,0	89.3%
SAS 98, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.77,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.25,0.02,0.01,0,0	89.3%