inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 98 Excitement8.8 [129] MVPTerrell Brandon (MIL): +15.0%
Milwaukee Bucks 92 Comeback10.5 [133] LVPRay Allen (MIL): -36.0%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Will Perdue0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.002100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0.010,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01-0.030.03-0.011561%0.135-0.12367%-0.01
Avery Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0-0.010.020.01857%0.031-0.03771%-0.02
David Robinson-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.030.001765%0.245-0.271283%0.07
Reggie Geary-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.00520%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Vinny Del Negro-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.020.01444%-0.022-0.0610%-0.02
Chuck Person-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08-0.00-0.09-0.01855%-0.041-0.054100%0.07
Sean Elliott-0.100,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.02-0.001025%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Jaren Jackson-0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.04-0.031135%-0.071-0.03450%-0.10

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Terrell Brandon0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.15-0.050.20-0.011751%0.254-0.10367%-0.00
Ricky Pierce0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.050.001443%0.0400.0000%0.00
Andrew Lang0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Elliot Perry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.01-0.02560%0.023-0.0400%0.00
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.00-0.01733%-0.031-0.011100%0.01
Ervin Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.040.00743%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Armen Gilliam0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11-0.11-0.05-0.060.001042%-0.081-0.044100%0.07
Tyrone Hill0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.2-0.20-0.02-0.18-0.001844%-0.191-0.0100%0.00
Ray Allen0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.33,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.36,-0.36-0.36-0.12-0.26-0.022236%-0.073-0.2900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game19.52.524.315.423.31.731.31.519.1138.6
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.01.618.4157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +38.0%
SAS +22.9%
MIL -8.1%
MIL -11.6%
SAS +8.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMILNBASASMILNBA
this game15.316.515.697.092.9102.5
season15.916.0100.9101.1
opponent15.115.9102.897.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SAS16.216.714.814.912.815.3
MIL14.518.518.017.213.316.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chuck Person57570.69-0.190.880.3412-61814.216.7-2.4515.917.4-1.55
Avery Johnson77760.62-0.120.750.398-21014.717.2-2.5916.217.5-1.28
Jaren Jackson67640.57-0.070.630.5415-415.215.4-0.2516.616.30.30
Tim Duncan93900.51-0.010.520.3460615.314.60.7116.616.00.59
Will Perdue21220.160.34-0.17-0.1310-41416.115.11.0318.915.93.05
Vinny Del Negro3435-0.070.57-0.63-0.2151415.415.20.2516.316.6-0.30
Reggie Geary2423-0.120.62-0.75-0.07-28-1017.214.72.5917.516.21.28
David Robinson7675-0.180.68-0.850.12-1016-2615.415.00.3716.317.4-1.16
Sean Elliott4442-0.190.69-0.88-0.02-612-1816.714.22.4517.415.91.55

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew Lang24250.20-0.700.90-0.017-132018.016.11.9917.214.62.56
Michael Curry41400.14-0.640.790.17-1-5416.016.9-0.9615.914.81.11
Elliot Perry42420.11-0.610.73-0.097-132016.316.7-0.4315.315.30.01
Ervin Johnson5149-0.10-0.400.300.13-82-1016.916.10.8416.014.61.32
Ricky Pierce4244-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.17-5-1-417.715.72.0115.715.00.72
Terrell Brandon7577-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.27-2-4216.915.41.5315.913.42.50
Tyrone Hill7778-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.29-71-816.118.0-1.8814.418.4-4.03
Armen Gilliam4650-0.600.10-0.70-0.48-4-2-216.017.0-1.0015.115.5-0.39
Ray Allen8688-0.610.11-0.72-0.29-115-1616.517.1-0.6214.620.0-5.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.77,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.25,0.02,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 101, SAS 940.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.57,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.1,0.02,0,090.6%
POR 103, UTA 1020.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.82,0.89,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.79,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.46,0.28,0.1,0.15,089.6%
LAC 98, PHI 920.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.84,0.78,0.92,0.5,0.25,0.04,0.09,0.04,089.4%