NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Excitement	8.5 [177]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (SAS): +15.7%
San Antonio Spurs	94		Comeback	6.5 [117]		LVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): -29.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.04	0.00	14	74%	0.24	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.02	0.12	-0.01	9	44%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	21	57%	0.18	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.06	-0.00	-0.07	14	47%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.01
Mike Wilks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Gary Trent	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.12	0.08	0.00	15	43%	0.03	4	-0.07	5	80%	-0.02
Marc Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.06

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	-0.11	0.26	-0.01	15	45%	0.35	5	-0.19	3	100%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.07	-0.00	6	42%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	150%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	18	47%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.07	0.02	21	60%	0.17	4	-0.23	6	83%	0.05
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	5	17%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.07
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.04	-0.27	-0.02	14	45%	-0.23	1	-0.06	5	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.2	3.5	29.8	17.7	26.5	3.7	38.0	3.6	18.1	166.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +34.4%

SAS -20.0%

MIN +6.7%

MIN +25.6%

MIN +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAS	NBA	MIN	SAS	NBA
this game	15.3	16.9	15.5	100.0	96.9	101.6
season	14.9	15.7		104.0	102.5
opponent	15.4	15.8		96.9	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	15.9	14.2	14.8	17.8	13.2	15.3
SAS	16.1	15.8	18.6	19.2	12.8	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	49	48	1.13	-0.63	1.76	0.78	12	-5	17	15.7	15.0	0.69	17.6	16.1	1.52
Wally Szczerbiak	89	88	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.58	10	-3	13	15.4	14.7	0.62	16.8	17.2	-0.40
Kevin Garnett	95	91	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.29	9	-2	11	15.0	19.5	-4.47	17.1	12.7	4.47
Anthony Peeler	86	81	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.34	6	1	5	14.8	17.9	-3.10	17.1	15.5	1.62
Troy Hudson	77	75	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.27	6	1	5	15.5	14.7	0.77	17.1	16.0	1.11
Mike Wilks	24	22	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	6	-5	14.7	15.5	-0.77	16.0	17.1	-1.11
Gary Trent	10	11	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	11	-15	16.3	15.2	1.11	13.8	17.2	-3.43
Marc Jackson	39	38	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.12	0	7	-7	17.2	14.1	3.11	16.8	16.9	-0.11
Kendall Gill	30	27	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.33	-2	9	-11	15.4	15.2	0.19	15.4	17.4	-1.96
Loren Woods	6	4	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	-0.37	-3	10	-13	7.3	15.8	-8.47	15.2	16.9	-1.67

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Ferry	2	4	0.45	-0.95	1.40	0.36	3	-10	13	7.0	17.1	-10.06	4.2	15.8	-11.50
David Robinson	38	40	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.08	4	-11	15	18.4	15.8	2.57	17.4	13.9	3.56
Steve Kerr	6	7	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-8	9	18.8	16.7	2.11	15.3	15.3	-0.01
Kevin Willis	8	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-5	3	15.5	17.0	-1.48	12.4	15.6	-3.13
Speedy Claxton	11	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-4	1	14.8	17.1	-2.30	16.1	15.2	0.89
Stephen Jackson	75	79	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.16	-9	2	-11	16.7	17.4	-0.72	14.2	19.1	-4.91
Bruce Bowen	52	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.47	6	-13	19	17.6	16.0	1.68	16.4	14.1	2.27
Malik Rose	54	56	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	2	-11	16.0	18.0	-2.01	15.0	15.6	-0.63
Tim Duncan	92	94	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.31	-7	0	-7	17.1	13.0	4.07	15.1	17.6	-2.44
Manu Ginobili	67	69	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.27	-11	4	-15	16.4	17.8	-1.37	15.7	14.4	1.26
Tony Parker	80	83	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.65	-8	1	-9	17.0	16.2	0.75	15.4	14.9	0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.57,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.1,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 98, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.77,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.25,0.02,0.01,0,0	90.6%
HOU 113, SAC 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.66,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.95,0.46,0.19,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	89.9%
BOS 105, NJN 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.75,0.84,0.87,0.71,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.41,0.66,0.69,0.9,0.85,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.1,0.01,0	89.5%