NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	110		Excitement	11.1 [32]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +42.3%
Dallas Mavericks	107		Comeback	5.8 [281]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -14.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.42	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.42,0.42	0.07	0.34	-0.01	17	64%	0.56	4	-0.14	8	75%	0.08
Kyrie Irving	0.37	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.37	0.01	0.34	-0.02	20	50%	0.48	3	-0.12	4	75%	0.04
Timofey Mozgov	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.11	-0.00	6	71%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Matthew Dellavedova	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	11	55%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	19	37%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	11	45%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,0.26,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39	0.39	0.02	0.35	-0.02	11	46%	0.39	0	0.00	2	100%	0.06
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.13	0.13	0.00	14	78%	0.36	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.03
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.09	-0.01	4	83%	0.17	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.04
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	4	70%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	6	78%	0.14	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.04,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	13	53%	0.01	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.05
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.3,-0.17,-0.24,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	0.01	-0.14	0.02	15	57%	0.10	3	-0.25	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	26.8	15.0	30.1	2.3	33.9	2.4	15.4	151.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +3.2%

CLE +2.3%

CLE +25.6%

CLE +25.1%

DAL -6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DAL	NBA	CLE	DAL	NBA
this game	17.1	15.6	14.9	112.2	111.5	105.1
season	15.8	15.5		110.3	105.0
opponent	14.7	14.9		106.5	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	18.2	16.4	16.0	19.4	14.8	17.1
DAL	15.2	13.6	14.7	19.5	16.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timofey Mozgov	37	38	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.00	18	-15	33	17.2	17.1	0.06	15.8	15.5	0.28
LeBron James	77	73	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.44	2	1	1	16.9	18.0	-1.06	15.8	15.0	0.85
Matthew Dellavedova	43	42	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.05	18	-15	33	16.2	17.8	-1.63	15.5	15.8	-0.34
Kyrie Irving	69	71	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.45	-4	7	-11	18.2	14.6	3.60	15.7	15.4	0.33
Kevin Love	66	67	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.48	-6	9	-15	18.1	15.1	2.97	16.0	14.8	1.27
J.R. Smith	74	70	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	0	3	17.5	16.0	1.43	15.5	16.0	-0.49
Richard Jefferson	25	26	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.02	5	-2	7	17.5	17.0	0.53	15.3	15.8	-0.52
Iman Shumpert	42	41	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.04	-5	8	-13	16.6	17.5	-0.96	15.9	15.4	0.49
Tristan Thompson	47	43	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	0.23	-19	22	-41	15.6	18.5	-2.93	14.5	16.6	-2.05

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	57	59	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.23	15	-18	33	15.2	16.3	-1.16	17.3	16.9	0.33
Dwight Powell	7	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-1	-1	16.4	15.6	0.84	17.4	17.1	0.33
Dirk Nowitzki	69	71	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.26	7	-10	17	15.4	16.3	-0.90	17.3	16.6	0.78
Jose Juan Barea	23	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	1	-5	15.6	15.7	-0.11	17.3	17.1	0.19
JaVale McGee	33	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.28	-15	12	-27	16.3	15.3	1.05	18.1	16.6	1.49
Raymond Felton	30	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.23	-17	14	-31	15.2	15.9	-0.70	16.6	17.4	-0.75
Chandler Parsons	74	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.59	10	-13	23	15.6	15.6	0.01	17.1	17.2	-0.14
Wesley Matthews	75	78	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.49	6	-9	15	15.6	15.7	-0.09	16.8	18.3	-1.48
Deron Williams	77	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.46	4	-7	11	15.8	14.9	0.87	17.3	16.2	1.14
Devin Harris	35	34	-1.12	0.62	-1.74	-0.56	-19	16	-35	16.2	15.3	0.92	16.1	17.7	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.59,0.64,0.72,0.61,0.63,0.54,0.52,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.41,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.67,0.71,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.78,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 122, MIL 117	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.59,0.72,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.94,0.73,0	87.2%
HOU 93, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.47,0.54,0.33,0.38,0.54,0.78,0.73,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.32,0.42,0	86.8%
TOR 100, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.33,0.62,0.54,0.76,0.92,0.46,0.25,0.37,0.55,0.58,0	86.4%