inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 110 Excitement11.1 [32] MVPLeBron James (CLE): +42.3%
Dallas Mavericks 107 Comeback5.8 [281] LVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): -14.8%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.420,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.42,0.420.070.34-0.011764%0.564-0.14875%0.08
Kyrie Irving0.370,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.370.010.34-0.022050%0.483-0.12475%0.04
Timofey Mozgov0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.070.11-0.00671%0.1800.002100%0.03
Matthew Dellavedova0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.04-0.001155%0.0900.0000%0.00
J.R. Smith0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.07-0.020.01771%0.0500.0000%0.00
Kevin Love0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.040.05-0.011937%0.0200.002100%0.01
Tristan Thompson0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Richard Jefferson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Iman Shumpert-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.03-0.07-0.001145%-0.052-0.0500%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,0.26,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.390.390.020.35-0.021146%0.3900.002100%0.06
Chandler Parsons0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.25,0.250.250.130.130.001478%0.363-0.11450%-0.03
JaVale McGee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.060.09-0.01483%0.171-0.01450%-0.04
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.050.07-0.00470%0.1200.002100%0.01
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.020.01678%0.142-0.066100%0.05
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.03-0.00642%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.070.00-0.01425%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Deron Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.04,-0.12-0.12-0.06-0.06-0.001353%0.015-0.134100%0.05
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.3,-0.17,-0.24,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15-0.150.01-0.140.021557%0.103-0.2500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.22.526.815.030.12.333.92.415.4151.7
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.52.217.3136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +3.2%
CLE +2.3%
CLE +25.6%
CLE +25.1%
DAL -6.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEDALNBACLEDALNBA
this game17.115.614.9112.2111.5105.1
season15.815.5110.3105.0
opponent14.714.9106.5103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CLE18.216.416.019.414.817.1
DAL15.213.614.719.516.915.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Timofey Mozgov37380.53-0.030.55-0.0018-153317.217.10.0615.815.50.28
LeBron James77730.500.000.490.4421116.918.0-1.0615.815.00.85
Matthew Dellavedova43420.480.020.46-0.0518-153316.217.8-1.6315.515.8-0.34
Kyrie Irving69710.330.170.160.45-47-1118.214.63.6015.715.40.33
Kevin Love66670.300.200.100.48-69-1518.115.12.9716.014.81.27
J.R. Smith74700.250.250.000.1630317.516.01.4315.516.0-0.49
Richard Jefferson25260.120.38-0.26-0.025-2717.517.00.5315.315.8-0.52
Iman Shumpert4241-0.190.69-0.87-0.04-58-1316.617.5-0.9615.915.40.49
Tristan Thompson4743-0.320.82-1.150.23-1922-4115.618.5-2.9314.516.6-2.05

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zaza Pachulia57590.21-0.710.92-0.2315-183315.216.3-1.1617.316.90.33
Dwight Powell77-0.01-0.490.480.05-2-1-116.415.60.8417.417.10.33
Dirk Nowitzki6971-0.05-0.450.39-0.267-101715.416.3-0.9017.316.60.78
Jose Juan Barea2322-0.15-0.350.19-0.04-41-515.615.7-0.1117.317.10.19
JaVale McGee3332-0.16-0.340.190.28-1512-2716.315.31.0518.116.61.49
Raymond Felton3030-0.27-0.23-0.040.23-1714-3115.215.9-0.7016.617.4-0.75
Chandler Parsons7476-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.5910-132315.615.60.0117.117.2-0.14
Wesley Matthews7578-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.496-91515.615.7-0.0916.818.3-1.48
Deron Williams7781-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.464-71115.814.90.8717.316.21.14
Devin Harris3534-1.120.62-1.74-0.56-1916-3516.215.30.9216.117.7-1.58


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.59,0.64,0.72,0.61,0.63,0.54,0.52,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.41,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.67,0.71,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.78,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 122, MIL 1170.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.59,0.72,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.94,0.73,087.2%
HOU 93, NJN 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.47,0.54,0.33,0.38,0.54,0.78,0.73,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.32,0.42,086.8%
TOR 100, IND 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.33,0.62,0.54,0.76,0.92,0.46,0.25,0.37,0.55,0.58,086.4%