NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	107		Excitement	7.3 [394]		MVP	Terrence Jones (HOU): +28.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	91		Comeback	1.8 [500]		LVP	Clint Capela (HOU): -9.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Jones	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.12	0.15	-0.01	10	77%	0.35	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Marcus Thornton	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	0.01	10	70%	0.16	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	10	68%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.07	0.00	5	60%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.05	0.07	13	69%	0.19	6	-0.15	10	90%	0.04
Trevor Ariza	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	11	43%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Montrezl Harrell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.01	0.03	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	10%	-0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	7	56%	0.12	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	15	57%	0.10	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	12	59%	0.10	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.07
James Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	12	61%	0.08	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.06	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Elliot Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	2	0%	-0.07	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.0	31.8	15.4	25.5	2.4	31.6	134.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +31.8%

HOU +6.8%

HOU +14.3%

HOU +6.9%

MEM -9.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MEM	NBA	HOU	MEM	NBA
this game	16.2	17.4	14.9	124.4	107.1	105.1
season	14.0	15.7		105.9	103.4
opponent	14.8	15.1		106.7	106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.9	14.0	21.6	15.6	16.2
MEM	18.7	17.3	18.4	15.7	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	68	65	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.15	14	2	12	16.3	16.0	0.31	17.6	17.0	0.58
Terrence Jones	53	54	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	3	10	16.7	15.5	1.28	16.9	18.4	-1.53
Corey Brewer	35	34	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	3	10	15.4	16.8	-1.38	16.9	17.8	-0.94
Jason Terry	34	32	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	8	0	16.9	15.8	1.06	17.3	17.5	-0.27
James Harden	58	57	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	9	-2	16.7	15.4	1.32	17.9	16.5	1.47
Patrick Beverley	52	53	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.06	8	8	0	15.8	16.9	-1.06	17.5	17.3	0.27
Trevor Ariza	51	51	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	13	-10	16.8	15.4	1.38	17.8	16.9	0.94
Marcus Thornton	29	29	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.08	7	9	-2	14.8	17.0	-2.14	16.1	18.2	-2.09
Clint Capela	47	47	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	12	-8	16.1	16.4	-0.35	18.4	16.2	2.19
Montrezl Harrell	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	13	-10	14.0	16.3	-2.33	13.3	17.6	-4.26

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	66	68	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.04	1	-17	18	16.8	19.7	-2.95	16.6	14.7	1.92
James Ennis	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-13	10	13.3	17.6	-4.26	14.0	16.3	-2.33
Elliot Williams	8	8	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-9	2	17.0	17.5	-0.49	15.2	16.3	-1.10
Jeff Green	26	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	-6	-4	20.7	16.0	4.73	15.2	16.7	-1.47
JaMychal Green	25	26	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.01	-9	-7	-2	16.9	17.7	-0.75	16.5	16.1	0.37
Mario Chalmers	73	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	-6	-4	17.2	18.8	-1.61	16.6	14.3	2.22
Zach Randolph	59	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-7	-2	17.1	18.2	-1.13	16.5	15.8	0.68
Tony Allen	57	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	-7	-2	18.1	16.2	1.89	16.6	15.5	1.15
Marc Gasol	71	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	-5	-6	17.5	17.3	0.19	16.1	16.9	-0.80
Vince Carter	37	38	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.18	-13	-3	-10	17.1	17.7	-0.65	15.1	17.1	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.26,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.16,0.14,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 112, CHI 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.46,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.25,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0	92.5%
GSW 86, MEM 79	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.43,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	92.4%
NJN 86, MIA 74	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.1,0.1,0.01,0,0,0	91.9%