NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	115		Excitement	6.3 [569]		MVP	D'Angelo Russell (LAL): +20.9%
Sacramento Kings	118		Comeback	3.0 [561]		LVP	Jordan Clarkson (LAL): -44.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D'Angelo Russell	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.16	0.10	0.05	16	77%	0.34	3	-0.14	3	67%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.09	0.05	3	100%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04	0.13	-0.03	0.06	13	67%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	5	69%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.05	18	64%	0.07	4	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	1	0%	-0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	5	-0.24	4	100%	0.03
Jordan Clarkson	-0.44	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.44	-0.07	-0.38	-0.00	14	48%	-0.07	4	-0.38	3	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.14	0.14	0.17	-0.01	0.02	12	78%	0.25	3	-0.11	13	85%	-0.02
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.16	0.01	0.07	9	86%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	9	78%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	16	51%	0.08	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.2,0.02	0.02	-0.08	0.08	-0.03	10	41%	0.18	3	-0.15	2	50%	-0.08
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	15	48%	0.05	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.02
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1	-0.10	0.02	-0.14	-0.02	9	52%	-0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.7	31.7	18.3	27.6	3.4	37.4	147.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +14.8%

LAL -2.9%

LAL -2.5%

SAC +39.6%

SAC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	15.0	13.8	14.9	116.2	116.8	105.1
season	15.2	13.9		100.1	104.8
opponent	14.6	14.5		107.1	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.2	16.9	12.0	15.3	15.0
SAC	12.8	13.1	14.6	14.7	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D'Angelo Russell	57	56	0.52	-1.02	1.55	-0.33	29	-32	61	15.5	14.3	1.22	15.1	12.2	2.97
Anthony Brown	32	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.41	11	-14	25	17.1	14.0	3.08	14.0	13.7	0.25
Julius Randle	59	59	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.61	17	-20	37	15.8	13.8	1.95	14.4	13.0	1.37
Brandon Bass	74	73	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.64	17	-20	37	15.0	15.0	0.07	14.5	12.1	2.39
Roy Hibbert	25	28	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.23	-20	17	-37	15.0	15.0	-0.07	12.1	14.5	-2.39
Larry Nance Jr.	40	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.20	-20	17	-37	13.8	15.8	-1.95	13.0	14.4	-1.37
Kobe Bryant	67	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.00	-14	11	-25	14.0	17.1	-3.08	13.7	14.0	-0.25
Jordan Clarkson	73	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	13	-29	15.2	14.6	0.54	13.3	15.3	-2.02
Lou Williams	68	70	-1.00	0.50	-1.50	-0.45	-19	16	-35	14.4	16.3	-1.86	13.3	15.0	-1.68

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Acy	57	56	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.38	16	-13	29	12.5	15.4	-2.89	13.6	16.9	-3.27
DeMarcus Cousins	70	67	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.03	18	-15	33	13.8	13.8	-0.01	14.6	15.9	-1.32
Rudy Gay	77	75	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.23	9	-6	15	13.4	15.2	-1.79	14.9	15.5	-0.59
Rajon Rondo	77	73	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.16	11	-8	19	13.8	13.7	0.18	14.5	16.3	-1.81
Marco Belinelli	52	52	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.45	-10	13	-23	14.0	13.6	0.49	16.1	13.8	2.29
Darren Collison	35	37	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.20	-3	6	-9	13.6	13.9	-0.31	16.2	14.3	1.88
Ben McLemore	56	53	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.17	8	-5	13	14.2	13.3	0.93	14.1	16.0	-1.89
James Anderson	25	25	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.22	-7	10	-17	15.6	13.2	2.39	15.6	14.8	0.84
Kosta Koufos	38	38	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.47	-16	19	-35	14.5	13.4	1.08	16.3	14.2	2.03
Seth Curry	18	19	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.13	-11	14	-25	13.9	13.8	0.17	16.9	14.5	2.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.89,0.88,0.7,0.81,0.72,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 102, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.42,1	92.6%
PHX 78, MIA 81	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.61,0.61,0.46,0.33,0.85,1	91.0%
MIA 97, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.83,0.8,0.71,0.92,0.73,1	89.7%