NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	114		Excitement	7.0 [442]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (GSW): +29.4%
Houston Rockets	110		Comeback	1.8 [452]		LVP	Terrence Jones (HOU): -9.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.16	0.13	-0.00	7	95%	0.34	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.05	0.03	27	67%	0.29	4	-0.11	3	0%	-0.05
Ian Clark	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	9	60%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
James Michael McAdoo	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	3	70%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Draymond Green	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	56%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Marreese Speights	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	33%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	-0.06	9	41%	0.06	5	-0.13	4	25%	-0.02
Shaun Livingston	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	12	50%	0.00	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.00	-0.05	19	64%	0.20	3	-0.02	9	100%	0.06
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.02	0.02	9	87%	0.19	3	-0.08	6	83%	-0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	-0.02	10	62%	0.16	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	3	90%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.06	-0.03	12	42%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	0.07	9	55%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.5	31.4	15.3	26.6	2.4	31.6	138.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +42.5%

HOU -7.4%

GSW +27.6%

HOU -11.4%

HOU -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	HOU	NBA	GSW	HOU	NBA
this game	14.5	14.3	14.9	114.0	110.0	105.1
season	13.7	14.0		112.3	105.9
opponent	15.1	15.1		106.9	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.1	12.2	15.5	16.7	14.5
HOU	14.7	13.0	14.5	15.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	70	71	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.26	15	-11	26	13.6	16.6	-3.00	13.8	15.5	-1.71
Ian Clark	55	53	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.38	7	-3	10	15.0	13.9	1.15	13.4	15.3	-1.92
Klay Thompson	82	83	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-6	16	14.3	15.4	-1.08	14.5	13.4	1.07
Andrew Bogut	75	74	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	1	2	14.4	14.7	-0.29	14.8	12.9	1.91
James Michael McAdoo	19	20	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	-3	10	15.8	14.2	1.59	12.9	14.6	-1.69
Draymond Green	79	77	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	8	-12	14.3	15.1	-0.75	14.6	13.2	1.41
Shaun Livingston	69	68	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.12	-4	8	-12	14.8	13.9	0.91	15.1	12.6	2.46
Marreese Speights	23	25	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	3	-2	14.9	14.4	0.54	13.2	14.7	-1.47
Brandon Rush	28	29	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.18	-15	19	-34	15.0	14.3	0.74	14.6	14.2	0.35

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donatas Motiejunas	16	14	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-5	6	11.4	14.9	-3.48	13.7	14.6	-0.91
Patrick Beverley	63	64	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.35	13	-17	30	14.3	14.2	0.13	14.6	14.4	0.17
James Harden	72	74	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.36	11	-15	26	14.4	14.1	0.22	14.2	15.3	-1.09
Dwight Howard	70	71	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.32	7	-11	18	14.8	13.0	1.81	15.4	12.3	3.04
Trevor Ariza	77	77	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.32	6	-10	16	14.8	12.8	1.97	14.5	14.5	-0.03
Corey Brewer	33	32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	4	-12	12.8	15.0	-2.21	13.6	14.9	-1.38
Clint Capela	49	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.20	-5	1	-6	14.4	14.2	0.29	14.5	14.5	0.04
Marcus Thornton	55	53	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.33	-4	0	-4	14.0	14.7	-0.75	14.7	14.3	0.46
Ty Lawson	37	36	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.03	-17	13	-30	14.2	14.3	-0.13	14.4	14.6	-0.17
Terrence Jones	28	31	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	0.06	-24	20	-44	15.4	13.9	1.47	14.1	14.7	-0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.4,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.11,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 112, PHX 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.15,0.07,0.01,0.02,0	92.8%
DEN 112, LAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.01,0	92.7%
OKC 122, PHX 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.34,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.19,0.12,0.19,0.03,0,0,0	92.1%