NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	100		Excitement	10.7 [45]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): +81.3%
Chicago Bulls	102		Comeback	24.1 [58]		LVP	Pau Gasol (CHI): -13.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.00	15	65%	0.23	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	12	45%	0.06	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Monta Ellis	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,0.04	-0.16	0.20	0.00	19	31%	0.18	3	-0.14	4	100%	0.04
Solomon Hill	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	64%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Lavoy Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.00	7	71%	0.10	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	8	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Chase Budinger	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	4	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul George	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	20	44%	0.04	5	-0.15	3	67%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.81	0.81	0.11	0.71	0.00	16	62%	0.92	2	-0.11	13	85%	0.04
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	12	62%	0.15	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.06	0.00	20	66%	0.25	6	-0.25	4	75%	-0.01
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	6	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.18,-0.14,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.01	0.00	14	38%	0.06	4	-0.20	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.1	1.7	26.1	14.7	28.1	3.0	38.1	2.4	17.4	154.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +65.3%

IND -0.5%

CHI +15.5%

IND -30.9%

CHI +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	14.5	16.5	14.9	96.2	101.0	105.1
season	14.6	14.8		103.2	103.7
opponent	14.9	14.9		105.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	14.5	15.2	14.5	13.4	15.9	14.5
CHI	18.3	14.8	15.5	17.3	17.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Mahinmi	50	50	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.01	7	-9	16	15.3	13.8	1.49	16.2	16.8	-0.56
Rodney Stuckey	63	62	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.24	-2	0	-2	13.9	15.5	-1.58	15.7	17.8	-2.07
Myles Turner	42	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	3	-8	14.0	14.9	-0.81	17.1	16.2	0.91
Lavoy Allen	74	72	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.32	4	-6	10	14.6	14.4	0.23	16.9	15.5	1.41
Chase Budinger	23	22	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	5	-12	14.0	14.7	-0.68	16.9	16.4	0.49
Paul George	81	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.44	5	-7	12	14.7	14.0	0.68	16.4	16.9	-0.49
George Hill	75	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.47	3	-5	8	15.3	12.7	2.60	17.0	15.2	1.78
Monta Ellis	70	67	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.61	-3	1	-4	14.3	15.0	-0.66	16.6	16.4	0.17
Solomon Hill	42	39	-0.82	0.32	-1.13	-0.46	-12	10	-22	14.0	14.9	-0.93	15.8	17.0	-1.11

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Mirotic	38	41	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.58	1	1	0	17.3	16.1	1.23	14.2	14.7	-0.51
Tony Snell	54	55	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.17	14	-12	26	15.2	18.0	-2.84	14.1	15.0	-0.97
Aaron Brooks	78	82	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.29	9	-7	16	15.7	19.2	-3.43	14.5	14.6	-0.14
Jimmy Butler	82	84	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.44	-2	4	-6	16.5	16.6	-0.07	14.8	13.4	1.40
Pau Gasol	71	73	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	3	-4	16.4	16.8	-0.39	15.0	13.3	1.72
Doug McDermott	38	41	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	-1	4	16.9	16.3	0.55	14.1	14.8	-0.67
Taj Gibson	68	70	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.14	-1	3	-4	17.8	13.9	3.89	14.6	14.3	0.31
Kirk Hinrich	24	22	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.14	-9	11	-20	18.6	15.9	2.75	14.6	14.5	0.14
Bobby Portis	52	52	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.15	-4	6	-10	15.8	17.3	-1.48	14.3	14.8	-0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.67,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.75,0.8,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.73,0.53,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.46,0.76,0.89,0.9,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 108, MEM 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.35,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.22,0.04,0.46,0.69,0.72,0.89,1,1	88.7%
DET 91, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.69,0.56,0.56,0.71,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.63,0.71,0.59,0.6,0.45,0.21,0.32,0.04,0.54,0.67,0.84,0.97,1,1	88.7%
SAC 91, GSW 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.45,0.33,0.45,0.22,0.41,0.54,0.69,0.93,0.76,0.84,1	87.7%