inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 123 Excitement6.3 [570] MVPKhris Middleton (MIL): +24.4%
Oklahoma City Thunder 131 Comeback2.0 [1186] LVPGreg Monroe (MIL): -13.9%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Khris Middleton0.240,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.240.240.050.042275%0.282-0.044100%0.02
O.J. Mayo0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.10.010.03-0.061254%0.132-0.032100%0.00
Jerryd Bayless0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.040.00662%0.0900.001100%0.01
John Henson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.01-0.00667%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Miles Plumlee0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Johnny O'Bryant-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.001100%0.031-0.0400%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo-0.010,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.07-0.020.061960%0.073-0.08771%-0.02
Michael Carter-Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.010.031456%0.052-0.07633%-0.05
Rashad Vaughn-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Jabari Parker-0.090,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.00-0.011121%-0.0900.00250%-0.01
Greg Monroe-0.140,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.03-0.00922%-0.082-0.0600%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Cameron Payne0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.160.060.016100%0.2200.004100%0.03
Enes Kanter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.150.050.011277%0.211-0.02683%0.01
Anthony Morrow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.090.070.00591%0.1700.001100%0.01
Steven Adams0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.01580%0.0600.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01-0.02761%0.102-0.054100%0.03
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kevin Durant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.01-0.00-0.031853%0.094-0.0713100%0.06
Russell Westbrook0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.002252%0.063-0.04887%0.02
Andre Roberson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.020.000.02450%-0.0000.00475%-0.01
Dion Waiters0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.080.03-0.00617%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.81.730.815.026.02.035.0134.3
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +6.2%
OKC +28.5%
MIL -5.3%
OKC +14.8%
OKC +5.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILOKCNBAMILOKCNBA
this game14.113.714.9118.3127.2105.1
season14.814.4102.8111.5
opponent15.115.3104.4107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL12.918.314.211.914.1
OKC12.813.015.213.913.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Carter-Williams70710.00-0.500.51-0.269-172613.315.9-2.6813.614.0-0.41
O.J. Mayo5555-0.01-0.490.47-0.134-121613.315.1-1.8314.313.01.37
John Henson5756-0.09-0.410.33-0.266-142012.715.9-3.1714.213.11.11
Miles Plumlee55-0.12-0.380.27-0.03-3-5216.414.02.3815.413.61.80
Khris Middleton8483-0.12-0.380.26-0.244-121613.118.5-5.4713.414.7-1.32
Jabari Parker3939-0.15-0.350.20-0.03-4-4015.213.51.6712.714.3-1.65
Rashad Vaughn87-0.22-0.280.07-0.07-5-3-216.114.02.1613.413.7-0.28
Greg Monroe4242-0.30-0.20-0.090.03-113-1415.813.02.8112.814.3-1.49
Johnny O'Bryant3433-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.05-113-1415.813.32.5114.113.50.59
Jerryd Bayless4339-0.560.06-0.62-0.12-157-2214.713.71.0413.913.50.38
Giannis Antetokounmpo8385-0.570.07-0.64-0.16-146-2014.811.43.3913.912.90.97

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Enes Kanter45460.470.030.450.1511-31414.013.40.5914.813.61.16
Anthony Morrow24250.460.040.42-0.0417-92614.513.51.0018.112.95.25
Nick Collison25260.360.140.230.0411-31413.013.9-0.9614.913.91.00
Russell Westbrook75750.310.190.120.1362413.514.2-0.6714.214.00.23
Kevin Durant85860.240.26-0.030.1826-413.514.7-1.1813.516.9-3.40
Cameron Payne34350.200.30-0.090.1717-614.013.50.5113.614.4-0.76
Dion Waiters52540.170.33-0.170.25-311-1414.213.11.1312.715.7-3.05
Andre Roberson46450.150.35-0.210.0926-412.414.7-2.3513.614.5-0.86
Serge Ibaka78780.140.36-0.230.22-311-1413.913.00.9613.914.9-1.00
Steven Adams51500.010.49-0.480.13-412-1614.013.40.6514.813.51.36


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.93,0.98,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
VAN 102, SEA 1150.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,193.9%
MIL 85, PHI 930.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.78,0.91,0.92,0.83,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.9,0.98,193.8%
CHI 81, IND 940.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,193.6%