NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	102		Excitement	5.6 [684]		MVP	Ruben Patterson (SEA): +19.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	115		Comeback	1.7 [970]		LVP	Shammond Williams (SEA): -7.9%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Reeves	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.18	0.02	0.05	18	76%	0.17	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Kevin Edwards	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	3	33%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Dickerson	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	22	47%	-0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	12	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	24	44%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Damon Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	44%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Patterson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.11	0.02	15	81%	0.26	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	2	150%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	11	64%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	9	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.08
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	18	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	55%	-0.04	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.01
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	40.9	2.4	27.4	14.8	24.2	1.8	28.3	139.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +54.5%

VAN -6.2%

VAN -1.8%

SEA +1.9%

SEA +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	SEA	NBA	VAN	SEA	NBA
this game	14.2	13.9	15.5	99.0	112.7	100.9
season	15.6	15.2		97.4	103.8
opponent	15.7	15.1		103.5	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	13.0	15.6	13.7	14.8	14.2
SEA	11.9	12.6	14.6	17.1	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryant Reeves	83	82	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-15	17	14.0	15.2	-1.29	14.2	12.7	1.47
Othella Harrington	63	62	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.17	3	-16	19	14.4	13.8	0.59	14.6	12.8	1.78
Michael Dickerson	93	93	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	-10	7	14.0	16.4	-2.42	13.7	15.6	-1.84
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	85	84	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-6	-1	14.0	15.4	-1.42	13.9	13.7	0.19
Damon Jones	32	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.06	-12	-1	-11	13.8	14.4	-0.63	11.1	15.1	-3.99
Mike Bibby	97	97	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-8	3	13.9	19.2	-5.26	14.2	8.4	5.76
Kevin Edwards	19	18	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-3	-7	14.3	14.2	0.13	15.2	13.6	1.56
Ike Austin	20	20	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	2	-17	15.2	14.0	1.29	12.7	14.2	-1.47
Stromile Swift	23	24	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.00	-18	5	-23	17.3	13.3	3.92	14.0	13.8	0.15

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vin Baker	52	53	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.02	27	-14	41	14.3	13.4	0.95	14.9	13.5	1.46
Brent Barry	48	48	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.03	24	-11	35	14.7	13.1	1.64	15.2	13.3	1.94
Desmond Mason	42	41	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.11	12	1	11	13.9	13.9	0.04	14.2	14.2	-0.07
Jelani McCoy	33	35	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	0	13	13.1	14.3	-1.21	16.3	13.1	3.18
Emanual Davis	49	51	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	6	1	13.8	14.0	-0.17	15.4	13.1	2.26
Ruben Patterson	69	68	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	13	-13	14.3	13.1	1.21	13.1	16.3	-3.18
Gary Payton	84	84	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	13	-13	13.4	16.3	-2.98	13.5	17.5	-4.00
Shammond Williams	32	33	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	13	-13	13.6	14.0	-0.38	13.2	14.7	-1.52
Rashard Lewis	51	52	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.01	-4	17	-21	14.2	13.6	0.55	14.0	14.4	-0.39
Patrick Ewing	50	50	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.10	-14	27	-41	13.4	14.3	-0.95	13.5	14.9	-1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 91, NYK 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.72,0.81,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.83,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.68,0.81,0.9,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
DAL 106, PHX 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.86,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
PHI 90, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,1,1,1	94.2%