NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	91		Excitement	5.7 [678]		MVP	Evan Turner (BOS): +11.0%
Boston Celtics	100		Comeback	1.2 [1147]		LVP	Kyle O'Quinn (NYK): -14.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.02	26	49%	0.13	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.01
Lance Thomas	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cleanthony Early	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	53%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	7	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Langston Galloway	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	7	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	13	47%	-0.05	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.05
Arron Afflalo	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	10	20%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	6	33%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	11	79%	0.15	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.01	11	67%	0.13	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	78%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	46%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	18	46%	0.02	3	-0.06	10	80%	-0.01
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.00	-0.01	9	15%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.3	30.6	15.6	27.1	1.7	34.0	134.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +51.0%

NYK -9.3%

NYK -2.1%

BOS +8.1%

BOS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	15.9	13.4	14.9	91.9	103.1	105.1
season	15.6	13.9		103.5	104.5
opponent	15.0	14.8		101.9	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.4	15.7	14.3	16.5	15.9
BOS	11.8	13.7	12.4	16.2	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cleanthony Early	1	0	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-9	9	0.0	16.1	-16.08	0.0	13.4	-13.44
Lance Thomas	35	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.18	5	-14	19	15.5	16.1	-0.58	13.1	13.6	-0.56
Sasha Vujacic	30	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.10	-2	-7	5	16.6	15.6	0.93	14.0	13.2	0.73
Kyle O'Quinn	23	21	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	-2	-5	16.9	15.6	1.24	12.3	13.8	-1.48
Langston Galloway	52	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-9	9	16.8	15.0	1.83	13.7	13.2	0.50
Kristaps Porzingis	58	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	-4	-1	16.0	15.8	0.15	13.7	13.0	0.69
Jose Calderon	47	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	0	-9	15.0	16.8	-1.83	13.2	13.7	-0.50
Robin Lopez	61	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-5	1	16.0	15.9	0.08	13.1	13.9	-0.81
Derrick Williams	45	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-4	-1	15.9	16.0	-0.10	14.9	12.2	2.64
Arron Afflalo	69	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-2	-5	15.6	16.6	-0.93	13.2	14.0	-0.73
Carmelo Anthony	74	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	2	-13	16.0	15.8	0.21	13.1	14.4	-1.29

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae Crowder	71	71	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.11	13	-4	17	13.0	14.7	-1.71	16.0	15.6	0.39
Evan Turner	60	62	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.16	10	-1	11	14.1	12.3	1.81	15.7	16.2	-0.52
Isaiah Thomas	64	69	0.45	0.06	0.39	0.15	10	-1	11	13.8	12.7	1.13	15.9	16.0	-0.12
Kelly Olynyk	43	42	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	-1	11	12.7	14.0	-1.30	17.4	14.8	2.58
Avery Bradley	66	65	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.16	3	6	-3	12.9	14.5	-1.58	15.7	16.4	-0.75
Amir Johnson	46	50	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	3	3	13.4	13.5	-0.06	14.6	17.3	-2.71
Jonas Jerebko	35	39	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.12	3	6	-3	14.3	12.9	1.41	15.9	15.9	0.05
Tyler Zeller	10	10	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	7	-5	12.6	13.5	-0.94	16.8	15.8	0.98
RJ Hunter	14	15	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	8	-7	13.9	13.4	0.48	15.6	16.0	-0.38
Jared Sullinger	50	47	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.20	-7	16	-23	13.2	13.7	-0.46	16.4	15.5	0.84
Marcus Smart	26	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.14	-6	15	-21	14.0	13.2	0.76	16.0	15.9	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 89, NOH 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%
MIL 97, MIA 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1,1	94.9%
MIL 92, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.98,1,1	94.8%