NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	85		Excitement	6.0 [633]		MVP	Doug McDermott (CHI): +21.6%
Chicago Bulls	98		Comeback	1.7 [741]		LVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): -12.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.00	0.01	11	82%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.02	-0.05	12	39%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Zach Randolph	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
James Ennis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
JaMychal Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	61%	0.07	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.03
Matt Barnes	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	7	39%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Mario Chalmers	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	5	44%	-0.01	2	-0.08	8	50%	-0.05
Mike Conley	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.04	14	27%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Gasol	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	10	40%	-0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.08	-0.03	12	68%	0.22	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.01	-0.02	22	51%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.02	0.04	6	62%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	39%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Snell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	19	46%	-0.01	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.02
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	3.5	31.2	16.4	24.5	2.7	34.0	135.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +16.7%

CHI +6.3%

CHI +7.3%

CHI +18.9%

CHI +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHI	NBA	MEM	CHI	NBA
this game	15.6	14.4	14.9	88.5	102.1	105.1
season	15.7	14.8		103.4	103.7
opponent	14.9	14.8		105.1	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.9	15.4	16.0	16.0	15.6
CHI	13.9	14.6	13.3	16.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Ennis	19	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-11	9	14.3	15.9	-1.57	14.7	14.4	0.32
Mario Chalmers	53	54	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.18	2	-15	17	14.6	16.7	-2.12	15.0	13.7	1.27
JaMychal Green	29	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-8	3	14.7	16.0	-1.31	14.1	14.6	-0.43
Mike Conley	67	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	-6	-1	16.0	14.5	1.51	14.7	13.8	0.86
Marc Gasol	67	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-5	-3	16.0	14.7	1.31	14.6	14.1	0.43
Jeff Green	65	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-5	-3	16.2	14.4	1.80	14.5	14.2	0.28
Matt Barnes	46	46	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.20	-17	4	-21	15.7	15.4	0.32	13.8	15.0	-1.20
Courtney Lee	75	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-2	-9	15.5	16.0	-0.49	13.8	16.5	-2.68
Zach Randolph	59	57	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.29	-9	-4	-5	15.7	15.4	0.27	14.7	14.1	0.63

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	76	76	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	3	7	14.2	15.3	-1.17	15.5	15.7	-0.16
Doug McDermott	47	46	0.35	0.14	0.21	0.06	10	3	7	14.6	14.2	0.41	15.1	16.0	-0.97
Joakim Noah	58	58	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	6	1	14.9	13.6	1.32	15.2	16.1	-0.92
Derrick Rose	66	67	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	3	7	13.9	15.6	-1.66	16.2	14.2	2.01
Tony Snell	44	44	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.03	8	5	3	14.4	14.5	-0.12	16.3	14.9	1.38
Pau Gasol	66	65	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	8	-3	14.7	13.8	0.91	15.8	15.1	0.70
Nikola Mirotic	30	31	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.00	8	5	3	13.8	14.7	-0.91	15.1	15.8	-0.70
Taj Gibson	38	38	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	7	-1	13.6	14.9	-1.32	16.1	15.2	0.92
Kirk Hinrich	22	22	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	8	-3	14.8	14.3	0.45	14.3	16.0	-1.69
Aaron Brooks	33	33	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.18	-4	17	-21	15.6	13.8	1.75	15.0	15.9	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 103, GSW 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.49,0.48,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,1	94.9%
PHI 71, PHX 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
IND 92, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.85,0.78,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%