NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	71		Excitement	5.1 [770]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (PHX): +16.9%
Phoenix Suns	84		Comeback	1.4 [788]		LVP	Dikembe Mutombo (PHI): -23.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Ollie	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	9	39%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.02	11	77%	0.11	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Eric Snow	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	7	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tyrone Hill	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	9	45%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
George Lynch	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	9	33%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	-0.00	8	22%	-0.09	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Jumaine Jones	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.05	0.02	9	46%	-0.10	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.03
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.15	-0.06	0.02	8	41%	-0.10	5	-0.13	6	83%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.06	-0.02	18	61%	0.17	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.04	10	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	14	41%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Santiago	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	6	17%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	13	43%	-0.09	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	27.3	15.7	24.3	2.3	24.6	120.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +39.6%

PHI -2.0%

PHI -23.9%

PHX +35.3%

PHX +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	PHX	NBA	PHI	PHX	NBA
this game	17.5	15.0	15.5	79.8	95.5	100.9
season	15.7	14.9		101.4	97.7
opponent	15.4	15.5		96.2	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.9	18.1	16.0	18.3	17.5
PHX	14.2	17.0	13.9	15.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Buford	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-16	19	15.1	17.7	-2.59	15.4	15.0	0.41
Matt Geiger	34	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-9	5	16.2	18.3	-2.09	14.5	15.4	-0.90
Eric Snow	60	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-9	5	18.2	16.2	2.01	15.6	13.8	1.82
George Lynch	71	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-12	11	16.9	19.9	-2.96	14.8	16.0	-1.24
Kevin Ollie	40	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	-1	-11	16.7	18.2	-1.46	14.5	15.4	-0.96
Jumaine Jones	44	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-5	-3	17.2	17.8	-0.64	14.7	15.3	-0.55
Dikembe Mutombo	55	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-4	-5	18.3	16.2	2.09	15.4	14.5	0.90
Aaron McKie	72	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	0	-13	17.4	18.0	-0.58	14.7	16.0	-1.26
Tyrone Hill	62	59	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.01	-17	4	-21	18.7	14.8	3.95	15.5	14.0	1.49

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	65	66	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.02	19	-6	25	15.4	13.9	1.53	18.5	14.8	3.64
Jake Tsakalidis	54	56	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.04	14	-1	15	15.1	14.8	0.34	18.3	16.2	2.14
Tom Gugliotta	48	46	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	3	7	14.4	15.8	-1.42	17.3	17.8	-0.55
Jason Kidd	68	69	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	0	13	14.6	16.3	-1.75	17.1	18.9	-1.83
Tony Delk	55	56	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	4	5	15.0	14.9	0.10	17.8	17.0	0.79
Rodney Rogers	27	26	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	8	-3	14.3	15.3	-1.07	18.2	17.3	0.88
Vinny Del Negro	16	16	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	8	-3	16.4	14.7	1.68	20.8	16.8	4.00
Mario Elie	35	36	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	9	-5	14.8	15.1	-0.33	16.6	18.2	-1.59
Shawn Marion	59	61	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	11	-9	14.7	15.5	-0.77	17.0	18.8	-1.83
Elliot Perry	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	18	-23	16.2	14.9	1.31	11.5	17.8	-6.31
Daniel Santiago	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	18	-23	16.2	14.9	1.31	11.5	17.8	-6.31
Chris Dudley	5	5	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.05	-6	19	-25	21.6	14.6	7.00	10.8	17.9	-7.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 76, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.5%
MEM 85, CHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.4%
LAL 87, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%