NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	124		Excitement	14.7 [3]		MVP	Kelly Olynyk (BOS): +44.4%
Boston Celtics	119		Comeback	17.9 [95]		LVP	Isaiah Thomas (BOS): -38.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaun Livingston	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.16	0.03	0.13	0.00	9	60%	0.19	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.05
Andre Iguodala	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07	-0.01	0.10	0.02	12	50%	0.17	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.05	0.01	0.05	0.01	20	49%	0.11	2	-0.06	9	67%	-0.01
James Michael McAdoo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.14,-0.27,-0.17,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.11,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	27	56%	0.45	8	-0.48	14	100%	0.19
Leandro Barbosa	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	5	20%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.23	-0.02	-0.20	0.00	7	48%	-0.12	2	-0.10	11	55%	-0.06

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.36,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.14	0.30	0.00	21	61%	0.44	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	8	62%	0.13	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
James Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.04	0.03	19	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	4	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.26,-0.16,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	12	52%	0.12	3	-0.18	1	100%	0.02
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	14	47%	-0.09	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	11	27%	-0.19	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.11,-0.24,-0.3,-0.3,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38	-0.38	-0.16	-0.23	-0.01	22	39%	-0.12	6	-0.26	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	33.4	15.3	24.7	2.6	36.0	2.4	10.6	2.4	19.5	173.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -8.0%

GSW +44.8%

GSW +36.0%

BOS -15.9%

BOS -7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	BOS	NBA	GSW	BOS	NBA
this game	14.2	13.7	14.9	100.0	94.4	105.1
season	13.7	13.9		112.3	104.5
opponent	15.0	15.1		101.9	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
GSW	15.6	12.9	14.6	15.8	11.9	14.2
BOS	14.4	13.8	12.2	13.0	15.4	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	105	107	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.48	14	-9	23	13.9	15.8	-1.97	13.9	12.4	1.47
Stephen Curry	100	102	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.44	15	-10	25	13.6	16.7	-3.09	13.9	12.7	1.13
Andre Iguodala	95	96	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	3	-1	13.8	15.6	-1.79	13.7	13.7	0.00
Shaun Livingston	75	75	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.34	-3	8	-11	14.2	14.1	0.09	13.4	14.0	-0.59
Brandon Rush	35	36	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	0	5	14.5	14.1	0.43	13.4	13.8	-0.43
Ian Clark	40	41	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	4	-3	15.3	13.6	1.69	13.1	13.9	-0.77
Andrew Bogut	47	50	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.17	-1	6	-7	14.6	13.9	0.71	14.7	13.0	1.78
Festus Ezeli	62	60	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.08	5	0	5	13.7	14.7	-1.00	12.9	14.4	-1.53
Leandro Barbosa	36	37	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	5	-5	14.6	14.0	0.61	14.1	13.5	0.62
Marreese Speights	15	15	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.06	-4	9	-13	15.7	14.0	1.77	12.3	13.9	-1.59
James Michael McAdoo	10	11	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.01	-9	14	-23	18.5	13.8	4.70	14.0	13.6	0.37

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	36	35	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.13	3	-8	11	13.1	13.9	-0.78	13.9	14.3	-0.37
Avery Bradley	73	75	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.04	2	-7	9	13.2	14.3	-1.10	14.4	13.9	0.46
Amir Johnson	41	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-5	5	15.6	12.7	2.84	15.0	13.8	1.13
Jonas Jerebko	6	5	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	0	-5	10.5	13.8	-3.33	9.2	14.4	-5.19
James Young	47	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-8	11	12.5	14.4	-1.88	14.7	13.9	0.73
Evan Turner	83	79	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	-2	-1	13.6	13.8	-0.26	13.7	15.1	-1.40
Kelly Olynyk	79	80	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.21	-2	-3	1	14.0	13.1	0.89	13.8	14.8	-0.92
Jared Sullinger	66	67	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.44	-8	3	-11	13.5	13.8	-0.32	14.6	13.7	0.95
Jae Crowder	92	91	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.53	-6	1	-7	13.7	13.6	0.15	14.3	13.8	0.53
Isaiah Thomas	96	97	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.47	-9	4	-13	14.0	12.6	1.36	14.2	13.9	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.28,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.9,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.28,0.22,0.42,0.54,0.39,0.54,0.32,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 111, UTA 116	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.51,0.48,0.68,0.7,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.73,1	87.4%
MIN 96, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.15,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.74,0.4,0.6,0.61,0.78,0.71,0.84,1	86.8%
BOS 103, CLE 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.85,1	86.7%